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Gaza crisis News

    Prediction markets for Gaza crisis

    OptionProbability

    With rich countries living beyond their means, the risk of a bond-market crisis is growing.

    Geothermal energy is worth watching.

    Better, cheaper GLP-1 weight-loss drugs are coming, and in pill form, too.

    Russia and China will test America’s commitment to its allies with “grey-zone” provocations in northern Europe and the South China Sea.

    Conflicts will grind on in Ukraine, Sudan and Myanmar.

    Peace in Gaza will hold.

    88

    85

    73

    71

    50

    10

    What year will the Israel-Gaza conflict end?

    Oct 20, 11:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    14546

    OptionProbability

    2027

    2026

    Never/ongoing indefinitely

    2028

    2030

    2029

    2031 or later

    Null

    36

    25

    21

    5

    5

    4

    4

    1

    Hamas-Israel hostilities in Gaza resume by June 30, 2026?

    Oct 12, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
    39.21%chance
    23529

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    125

    80

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