OptionProbability
Claude 4.5 Sonnet
ChatGPT-5
DeepSeek V3.1 Chat
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Qwen 3 Max
Grok 4
32
27
19
14
6
2
2026 or later
Second half of 2025
First half of 2025
Q1 2024
Q2 2024
Q3 2024
Q4 2024
59
9
8
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