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Syria’s Sharaa to Address UNGA, Ending 50-Year Absence
Authors
16
3 months ago
Prediction markets for General Assembly
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM
8.01%chance
9431141
OptionVotes
2125
760
Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?
Nov 17, 7:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
13.79%chance
333081
OptionVotes
1976
739
🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱
Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
13.08%chance
322986
OptionVotes
1738
817
Will UNRWA continue to operate in the Palestinian territories (Gaza or West Bank) by EOY 2025?
Feb 25, 5:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
89.79%chance
222298
OptionVotes
2332
650
Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?
Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM
42.32%chance
141029
OptionVotes
1168
856
OptionVotes
649
15
Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?
Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM
5.69%chance
13678
OptionVotes
1442
942
Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?
Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
32.46%chance
14587
OptionVotes
1139
442
OptionVotes
721
356
Will the UN issue a resolution condemning or endorsing solar geoengineering by 2028?
Feb 11, 1:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
19333
OptionProbability
75
19
6
OptionProbability
54
20
8
7
4
4
4
2
Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?
Apr 4, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
67.88%chance
12270
OptionVotes
1071
801
Latest stories
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- Syria’s Sharaa to Address UNGA, Ending 50-Year AbsenceAuthors163 months ago