General License News

U.S. Treasury Issues General License No. 40D Authorizing LPG Offloading in Venezuela Until Sept. 5 for Cargo Loaded by July 7

26 days ago

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

43%chance

8712384

OptionVotes

YES

1151

869

[Ṁ200 subsidy] Will the BBC licence fee be axed by the end of 2028?

Aug 3, 11:25 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

27.34%chance

221255

OptionVotes

YES

1157

913

At end of 2025, one of the top five software engineering AIs will be exclusively used by 100 or fewer tech companies

Feb 6, 3:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.4%chance

71077

OptionVotes

YES

1670

599

When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?

Aug 2, 11:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8815

OptionProbability

Q3-Q4 2024

2025

Q1-Q2 2024

Other

Q4 2023

2026

Q3 2023

Will the US or California require licenses to train large AI models before 2026?

May 16, 3:19 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

20.56%chance

20801

OptionVotes

YES

993

988

Will the US require a license to develop frontier AI models by 2028?

Apr 28, 1:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.02%chance

20553

OptionVotes

YES

1211

711

Adult tooth regrowth commercially available in 2035?

Jun 27, 3:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.14%chance

9114

OptionVotes

YES

143

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

4007

3989

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Jul 7, 2025
Jul 7, 2025
Venezuela
US Foreign Policy
Politics
U.S. Treasury Issues General License No. 40D Authorizing LPG Offloading in Venezuela Until Sept. 5 for Cargo Loaded by July 7
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26 days ago

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Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

[Ṁ200 subsidy] Will the BBC licence fee be axed by the end of 2028?

At end of 2025, one of the top five software engineering AIs will be exclusively used by 100 or fewer tech companies

When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?

Will the US or California require licenses to train large AI models before 2026?

Will the US require a license to develop frontier AI models by 2028?

Adult tooth regrowth commercially available in 2035?

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Latest stories

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