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Prediction markets for Genie

Will more than half the US population actively work with AI daily by 2027?

Apr 14, 3:22 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

42.13%chance

582422

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

896

Will Emily and I get a divorce by end of 2040?

Oct 10, 4:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.06%chance

201155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1146

886

Will a drone swarm cause havoc in a major city by 2026?

Nov 6, 4:55 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

36.39%chance

201039

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

932

Will the USA have lasers in space capable of destroying enemy satellites by 2027?

Apr 16, 5:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.23%chance

13652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1121

940

Will there be "compulsory genital inspection regime" in the USA by the end of Trump's term?

Jan 22, 1:22 PMJan 30, 10:59 PM

13.02%chance

18499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

258

39

Will the first clone of a genius demonstrate similar intelligence?

Mar 8, 11:08 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

61.53%chance

23481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1105

912

Are dark matter and dark energy other universes?

Nov 8, 8:04 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.27%chance

14298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

976

Will a genius grant be awarded to someone acknowledged to be the result of genetic IQ selection before 2055

Jun 29, 10:37 PMMar 2, 7:59 AM

26.85%chance

7136

OptionVotes

YES

NO

233

133

Genichi Sojo Stock

Feb 19, 4:57 PM

00

OptionProbability

NO

YES

50

50

What is the optimal set of three wishes from a genie?

Jan 10, 4:46 PM

00

Would you consider Elon Musk a genius

Jan 26, 5:15 PM

530

Are men more likely to be geniuses or quasi-geniuses than women?

Jan 25, 6:43 PM

170

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