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Ghost of Yōtei News

    Prediction markets for Ghost of Yōtei

    Will "chatbotting" replace "ghosting" by end of 2029?

    Feb 2, 2:59 PMDec 31, 12:35 PM
    24.83%chance
    19725213

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    2105

    1925

    What scapegoat will make us all sing "kumbaya" by 2030?

    Feb 11, 11:26 PMFeb 13, 10:59 PM
    145045

    OptionProbability

    No such scapegoat will manifest

    planet-killing asteroid

    Other

    Jesus Christ (second coming)

    Rogue AGI

    Me (specifically me, Jessica Evans)

    previously unknown virus

    invasive spores

    unknown energy state

    alien ghosts

    telepathic dolphins

    41

    12

    11

    9

    8

    7

    4

    3

    3

    1

    1

    Who will appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?

    Mar 25, 10:17 AMMay 7, 11:59 AM
    614084

    OptionProbability

    Tom Holland (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)

    Anthony Mackie (Sam Wilson / Captain America)

    Robert Downey, Jr. (Victor von Doom / Doctor Doom, Tony Stark / Iron Man)

    Pedro Pascal (Reed Richards / Mister Fantastic)

    Benedict Cumberbatch (Dr. Stephen Strange)

    Ebon Moss-Bachrach (Ben Grimm / The Thing)

    Joseph Quinn (Johnny Storm / Human Torch)

    Samuel L. Jackson (Nick Fury)

    Sebastian Stan (Bucky Barnes / Winter Soldier / White Wolf)

    Vanessa Kirby (Sue Storm / Invisible Woman)

    Simu Liu (Shang-Chi)

    Paul Rudd (Scott Lang / Ant-Man)

    Chris Hemsworth (Thor)

    Charlie Cox (Matt Murdock / Daredevil)

    Hannah John-Kamen (Ava Starr / Ghost)

    Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Valentina Allegra de Fontaine)

    Pom Klementieff (Mantis)

    David Harbour (Alexei Shostakov / Red Guardian)

    Danny Ramirez (Joaquin Torres / Falcon)

    Iman Vellani (Kamala Khan / Ms. Marvel)

    Mark Ruffalo (Bruce Banner / Hulk)

    Dominique Thorne (Riri Williams / Ironheart)

    Florence Pugh (Yelena Belova / Black Widow)

    Benedict Wong (Wong)

    Chris Pratt (Peter Quill / Star-Lord)

    Vin Diesel (Groot)

    Ryan Reynolds (Wade Wilson / Deadpool)

    Jeremy Renner (Clint Barton / Hawkeye)

    Wyatt Russell (John Walker / U.S. Agent)

    Brie Larson (Carol Danvers / Captain Marvel)

    Letitia Wright (Shuri / Black Panther)

    Karen Gillan (Nebula)

    Tatiana Maslany (Jennifer Walters / She-Hulk)

    Chris Evans (Steve Rogers / Captain America)

    Hailee Steinfeld (Kate Bishop / Hawkeye)

    Teyonah Parris (Monica Rambeau)

    Xochitl Gomez (America Chavez)

    Hayley Atwell (Peggy Carter / Captain Carter)

    Kathryn Newton (Cassie Lang)

    Bradley Cooper (Rocket Raccoon)

    Will Poulter (Adam Warlock)

    Tenoch Huerta Mejía (Namor)

    Don Cheadle (James "Rhodey" Rhodes / War Machine)

    Tessa Thompson (Valkyrie)

    Winston Duke (M'Baku)

    Elizabeth Olsen (Wanda Maximoff / Scarlet Witch)

    Paul Bettany (Vision)

    Kathryn Hahn (Agatha Harkness)

    Danai Gurira (Okoye)

    Oscar Isaac (Marc Spector / Moon Knight, Steven Grant / Mr. Knight, Jake Lockley)

    Hugh Jackman (James "Logan" Howlett / Wolverine)

    Tom Hiddleston (Loki)

    Mahershala Ali (Blade)

    Sean Gunn (Kraglin)

    Alaqua Cox (Maya Lopez / Echo)

    Lupita Nyong'o (Nakia)

    Wil Deusner (Skaar)

    Gemma Chan (Sersi)

    Kumail Nanjiani (Kingo)

    Lia McHugh (Sprite)

    Brian Tyree Henry (Phastos)

    Barry Keoghan (Druig)

    Harry Styles (Eros / Starfox)

    Patton Oswalt (Pip the Troll)

    Kit Harington (Dane Whitman)

    Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (Simon Williams / Wonder Man)

    Evangeline Lilly (Hope van Dyne / Wasp)

    Seth Green (Howard the Duck)

    Zoe Saldaña (Gamora)

    Dave Bautista (Drax)

    Angelina Jolie (Thena)

    Gael García Bernal (Jack Russell / Werewolf by Night)

    Tobey Maguire (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)

    Scarlett Johansson (Natasha Romanoff / Black Widow)

    Andrew Garfield (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)

    Lauren Ridloff (Makkari)

    Emilia Clarke (G'iah)

    Ralph Ineson (Galactus)

    Jeffrey Wright (The Watcher)

    May Calamawy (Layla El-Faouly / Scarlet Scarab)

    Harrison Ford (Thaddeus "Thunderbolt" Ross)

    Brett Goldstein (Hercules)

    Don Lee (Gilgamesh)

    Olga Kurylenko (Antonia Dreykov / Taskmaster)

    94

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    62

    59

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    37

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    23

    17

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    14

    OptionProbability

    Mars

    Moon

    A Langrage Point

    Other

    Venus

    Titan

    Europa

    Yes. It might even be a ghost town (or colony) by then.

    74

    25

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Jeopardy

    Sesame Street

    White Lotus

    Simpsons

    Battlebots

    Cyberchase

    Wheel of Fortune

    Spongebob Squarepants

    Homestar Runner

    Peppa Pig

    Bobs Burgers

    Survivor

    Antiques Roadshow

    Rick and Morty

    Shark Tank

    Ancient Aliens

    Paw patrol

    NCIS

    South Park

    Bluey

    Always Sunny in Philadelphia

    Ghost Adventures

    Storage Wars

    Deadliest Catch

    Family Feud

    Black Mirror

    Pawn Stars

    Phineas and Ferb

    Severence

    American Pickers

    Family Guy

    Abbott Elementry

    Teen Titans Go!

    Robot Chicken

    Beavis and Butt Head

    Law & Order (revival)

    The Incredible Dr Pol

    Ghost Hunters

    Impractical Jokers

    American Horror Story

    Law & Order: SVU

    Grey's Anatomy

    Forged in Fire

    The Bear

    Hazbin Hotel

    Is it Cake

    American Dad

    True Detective

    Futurama

    Curb Your Enthusiasm

    Red vs Blue

    Stranger Things

    Late show with Stephen Colbert

    98

    97

    92

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    90

    90

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    81

    76

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    70

    67

    66

    62

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    60

    58

    56

    56

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    54

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    46

    45

    40

    38

    38

    29

    28

    21

    17

    2

    0

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    332

    46

    Do ghosts exist👻?

    Jun 14, 2:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    5.62%chance
    151690

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1515

    876

    OptionProbability

    You can go in if your boat is in this marina right now.

    If there is a fire and your boat stored here burns up partially and is not seaworthy, can you go in?

    If your boat is here and you contracted a spot, but all legal record of that burned in a fire, are you allowed in?

    If you owned a boat which is here, but it's been molecularly exchanged for identical but different atoms by aliens, you can go in

    If your boat here sinks can you go in?

    If your boat is here and you contracted a spot, but all legal record of that burned in a fire, and the only one who remembers who is still alive is you, and you paid cash, are you allowed in?

    You can go in if you are a guest of someone who is a boat owner.

    The dock owner is not allowed to go in, unless he is or is with a boat owner

    Only official owners of a specific but unspecified boat located on the dock are allowed through

    You can go in if you own a real live seaworthy boat now anywhere in the world.

    If you privately own the company that owns the boat, you may enter

    If you stole a boat, parked it here with a legal berth lease contract, then left, and return, can you go in?

    If you are a shareholder in the company that owns the boat, you may pass

    If California becomes officially Marxist, where ownership is an exclusive right of the state, can you anyone go in at all?

    If the 24 hour video surveillance of the marina is disabled, that invalidates that sign immediately above, creating a presumption that all the signs on the fence are false, and making it the case that only non-boat owners are allowed.

    You can go in if you own any kind of boat in any condition in the world, including toy boats, model boats, Lego boats, virtual boats in baldurs gate etc.

    The gate will prevent all non-boat owners from passing. Guests and passengers must swim

    The sign isn't about who is allowed through, it's about the contents of what's on the other side. Everything beyond the fence is a Boat Owner.

    If you own 1% of a boat here you can go in

    You can go through if you open the gate

    You can go in if your spouse is a boat owner

    If you own half a boat stored here legally you can go in

    Joshua, byrne, marcus, Odoacre, firstuserhere, and at least one legalistic fan from the UAW strike claim horror show will participate

    You can go in if you have no boat, but plan to buy one someday and have a contract for a reserved berth space

    You can go through if you have a contracted and paid berth here.

    You can go in if you have a berth contract but are behind in payment.

    Bonus: people who own three boats stored here can alternate sleeping arrangements so that in any seven day period they never sleep in one more than 3 days, legally?

    This market will entirely be excluded from leagues

    You can go in if you own a Binary Oxidizing Acetylitic Thermometer.

    You can go in if you are a former boat owner but have converted it to a sailplane, which is here.

    You can go in if you are a leashed dog that doesn't own a boat, but is with a boat owner

    You can go in if you have a rental boat stored here.

    Ghosts are allowed because they say B.O.O. (Boat Owners Only), which is the password

    You can go in if your grandpa is a boat owner

    You can go in if you are ex navy.

    This market gets more than 100 bettors

    86

    77

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    65

    58

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    25

    20

    18

    Are ghosts real? 👻

    Jul 20, 11:48 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    9.74%chance
    5254

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    226

    75

    OptionProbability

    Old Catholic

    ICAB

    Liberal Catholic

    Mystical (directly by Jesus an apostle etc)

    All the above

    Larping Thuc bishop

    Ghost of Ngo Dinh Thuc

    18

    14

    14

    14

    14

    12

    12

    OptionProbability

    Rapport: Friendship, Solidarity, Communion, Empathy - Martha Wells

    When He Calls Your Name - Catherynne M. Valente

    The Tin Man's Ghost - Ray Nayler

    Making Space - R.F. Kuang

    Cronus - P. Djèlí Clark

    The Name Ziya - Wen-yi Lee

    Four People I Need You to Kill Before the Dance Begins - Louis Inglis Hall

    Our Echoes Drifting Through the Marsh - Marie Croke

    Human Voices - Isabel J. Kim

    Something Rich and Strange - L.S. Johnson

    60

    55

    50

    45

    40

    35

    30

    30

    25

    20

    If I watch Ghost in the Shell, will I like it?

    Jun 5, 3:53 PMMar 10, 3:52 PM
    63.52%chance
    772

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    132

    76

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