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Ghost of Yōtei News

    Prediction markets for Ghost of Yōtei

    OptionProbability

    Breakdown in Pakistan: How Aid Is Eroding Institutions for Collective Action

    Storm Of Steel

    The Escape Artist

    Orality and Literacy by Walter Ong

    We Present Television

    The Tale of Genji

    The History And Adventures Of An Atom

    Lee Kuan Yew’s Memoirs

    Great And Desperate Cures

    A Residence Of 21 Years In The Sandwich Islands

    Thomas Urquhart’s Translation Of Rabelais

    The Ghost In My Brain

    The Epic Of Gilgamesh

    The Book of Abraham

    Thomas Urquhart's Translation of Rabelais

    The Last Temptation of Christ

    The Invention of Science: A New History of the Scientific Revolution

    The Rule of Law

    Timefulness

    The Life-Changing Magic of Tidying Up

    The Cambridge Introduction to Jacques Lacan

    The Knowledge Machine

    The Inhabited Island

    Aesopian Language in Russian Literature

    Bellum Catilinae -- The Catiline Conspiracy

    This Is Going To Hurt

    Other

    Coriolanus

    Fear and Trembling

    1984 by George Orwell

    Mother of Learning

    "Mistletoe and Memorandums" by Claude

    The Northern Caves

    planecrash – E.S. Yudwkosky

    World War Z

    The Sovereign Child

    Siddhartha (1922) by Herman Hesse

    The Lever of Riches

    Dictator Book Club: Yoweri Museveni’s Sowing The Mustard Seed

    The End of History and the Last Man

    The Affluent Society by John Kenneth Galbraith

    The Bible

    Invisible Cities / Life: A User's Manual

    We've Had a Hundred Years of Psychotherapy and the World's Getting Worse

    Capitalist Realism

    Leviathan

    How to Prevent Coups d’État

    Stabilizing an Unstable Economy

    The Short, Swift Time of Gods on Earth

    A Secular Age

    Scenebux: A Novel

    Pharmaceutical Freedom: Why Patients Have a Right to Self-Medicate

    More Money Than God: Hedge Funds and the Making of a New Elite, by Sebastian Mallaby

    22

    18

    8

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    4

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    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

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    0

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    0

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    0

    0

    0

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    0

    Will "chatbotting" replace "ghosting" by end of 2029?

    Feb 2, 2:59 PMDec 31, 12:35 PM
    14.09%chance
    20328862

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    3296

    1789

    What scapegoat will make us all sing "kumbaya" by 2030?

    Feb 11, 11:26 PMFeb 13, 10:59 PM
    155214

    OptionProbability

    No such scapegoat will manifest

    planet-killing asteroid

    Other

    Rogue AGI

    Jesus Christ (second coming)

    previously unknown virus

    invasive spores

    unknown energy state

    Me (specifically me, Jessica Evans)

    alien ghosts

    telepathic dolphins

    53

    11

    11

    7

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    1

    1

    Who will appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?

    Mar 25, 10:17 AMMay 7, 11:59 AM
    745147

    OptionProbability

    Robert Downey, Jr. (Victor von Doom / Doctor Doom, Tony Stark / Iron Man)

    Tom Holland (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)

    Chris Hemsworth (Thor)

    Anthony Mackie (Sam Wilson / Captain America)

    Pedro Pascal (Reed Richards / Mister Fantastic)

    Benedict Cumberbatch (Dr. Stephen Strange)

    Ebon Moss-Bachrach (Ben Grimm / The Thing)

    Florence Pugh (Yelena Belova / Black Widow)

    Chris Evans (Steve Rogers / Captain America)

    Simu Liu (Shang-Chi)

    Joseph Quinn (Johnny Storm / Human Torch)

    Sebastian Stan (Bucky Barnes / Winter Soldier / White Wolf)

    Vanessa Kirby (Sue Storm / Invisible Woman)

    Paul Rudd (Scott Lang / Ant-Man)

    Hannah John-Kamen (Ava Starr / Ghost)

    Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Valentina Allegra de Fontaine)

    Tenoch Huerta Mejía (Namor)

    David Harbour (Alexei Shostakov / Red Guardian)

    Danny Ramirez (Joaquin Torres / Falcon)

    Iman Vellani (Kamala Khan / Ms. Marvel)

    Hugh Jackman (James "Logan" Howlett / Wolverine)

    Mark Ruffalo (Bruce Banner / Hulk)

    Samuel L. Jackson (Nick Fury)

    Dominique Thorne (Riri Williams / Ironheart)

    Benedict Wong (Wong)

    Chris Pratt (Peter Quill / Star-Lord)

    Vin Diesel (Groot)

    Ryan Reynolds (Wade Wilson / Deadpool)

    Jeremy Renner (Clint Barton / Hawkeye)

    Tom Hiddleston (Loki)

    Wyatt Russell (John Walker / U.S. Agent)

    Brie Larson (Carol Danvers / Captain Marvel)

    Letitia Wright (Shuri / Black Panther)

    Karen Gillan (Nebula)

    Tatiana Maslany (Jennifer Walters / She-Hulk)

    Hailee Steinfeld (Kate Bishop / Hawkeye)

    Teyonah Parris (Monica Rambeau)

    Xochitl Gomez (America Chavez)

    Hayley Atwell (Peggy Carter / Captain Carter)

    Pom Klementieff (Mantis)

    Kathryn Newton (Cassie Lang)

    Bradley Cooper (Rocket Raccoon)

    Will Poulter (Adam Warlock)

    Don Cheadle (James "Rhodey" Rhodes / War Machine)

    Charlie Cox (Matt Murdock / Daredevil)

    Tessa Thompson (Valkyrie)

    Winston Duke (M'Baku)

    Elizabeth Olsen (Wanda Maximoff / Scarlet Witch)

    Paul Bettany (Vision)

    Kathryn Hahn (Agatha Harkness)

    Danai Gurira (Okoye)

    Sean Gunn (Kraglin)

    Alaqua Cox (Maya Lopez / Echo)

    Lupita Nyong'o (Nakia)

    Evangeline Lilly (Hope van Dyne / Wasp)

    Seth Green (Howard the Duck)

    Joe Locke (Teen / Wiccan)

    Zoe Saldaña (Gamora)

    Dave Bautista (Drax)

    Gael García Bernal (Jack Russell / Werewolf by Night)

    Tobey Maguire (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)

    Oscar Isaac (Marc Spector / Moon Knight, Steven Grant / Mr. Knight, Jake Lockley)

    Scarlett Johansson (Natasha Romanoff / Black Widow)

    Andrew Garfield (Peter Parker / Spider-Man)

    Gemma Chan (Sersi)

    Kumail Nanjiani (Kingo)

    Lia McHugh (Sprite)

    Brian Tyree Henry (Phastos)

    Lauren Ridloff (Makkari)

    Barry Keoghan (Druig)

    Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (Simon Williams / Wonder Man)

    Ralph Ineson (Galactus)

    Angelina Jolie (Thena)

    May Calamawy (Layla El-Faouly / Scarlet Scarab)

    Jeffrey Wright (The Watcher)

    Mahershala Ali (Blade)

    Emilia Clarke (G'iah)

    Wil Deusner (Skaar)

    Kit Harington (Dane Whitman)

    Harrison Ford (Thaddeus "Thunderbolt" Ross)

    Brett Goldstein (Hercules)

    Harry Styles (Eros / Starfox)

    Patton Oswalt (Pip the Troll)

    Don Lee (Gilgamesh)

    Olga Kurylenko (Antonia Dreykov / Taskmaster)

    95

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    33

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    27

    24

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    17

    10

    10

    8

    5

    OptionProbability

    Jeopardy

    Sesame Street

    Survivor

    Antiques Roadshow

    Wheel of Fortune

    Deadliest Catch

    White Lotus

    Simpsons

    Battlebots

    Cyberchase

    Spongebob Squarepants

    Homestar Runner

    Peppa Pig

    Bobs Burgers

    South Park

    Rick and Morty

    Shark Tank

    Ancient Aliens

    Paw patrol

    Family Guy

    NCIS

    Bluey

    Always Sunny in Philadelphia

    Ghost Adventures

    Storage Wars

    Family Feud

    Black Mirror

    Pawn Stars

    Phineas and Ferb

    Severence

    American Pickers

    Abbott Elementry

    Teen Titans Go!

    Robot Chicken

    Beavis and Butt Head

    Law & Order (revival)

    The Incredible Dr Pol

    Ghost Hunters

    Impractical Jokers

    American Horror Story

    Law & Order: SVU

    Grey's Anatomy

    Forged in Fire

    Hazbin Hotel

    Is it Cake

    American Dad

    True Detective

    Futurama

    Curb Your Enthusiasm

    Red vs Blue

    The Bear

    Stranger Things

    Late show with Stephen Colbert

    99

    99

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    98

    98

    95

    92

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    89

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    88

    88

    81

    81

    76

    74

    73

    70

    70

    66

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    58

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    50

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    46

    40

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    38

    29

    28

    21

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    15

    2

    0

    OptionProbability

    Mars

    Moon

    A Langrage Point

    Other

    Venus

    Titan

    Europa

    Yes. It might even be a ghost town (or colony) by then.

    74

    25

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Chang'e 7

    IM-3

    Griffin Mission 1

    Blue Ghost M2

    Hakuto-R 3

    Blue Moon MK1

    Starship HLS

    5

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Will an LLM directly read Ghost Font by EOY 2027?

    Jul 11, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    66.71%chance
    101695

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1416

    706

    Do ghosts exist👻?

    Jun 14, 2:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    5.62%chance
    151690

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1515

    876

    OptionProbability

    You can go in if your boat is in this marina right now.

    If there is a fire and your boat stored here burns up partially and is not seaworthy, can you go in?

    If your boat is here and you contracted a spot, but all legal record of that burned in a fire, are you allowed in?

    If you owned a boat which is here, but it's been molecularly exchanged for identical but different atoms by aliens, you can go in

    If your boat here sinks can you go in?

    If your boat is here and you contracted a spot, but all legal record of that burned in a fire, and the only one who remembers who is still alive is you, and you paid cash, are you allowed in?

    You can go in if you are a guest of someone who is a boat owner.

    The dock owner is not allowed to go in, unless he is or is with a boat owner

    Only official owners of a specific but unspecified boat located on the dock are allowed through

    You can go in if you own a real live seaworthy boat now anywhere in the world.

    If you privately own the company that owns the boat, you may enter

    If you stole a boat, parked it here with a legal berth lease contract, then left, and return, can you go in?

    If you are a shareholder in the company that owns the boat, you may pass

    If California becomes officially Marxist, where ownership is an exclusive right of the state, can you anyone go in at all?

    If the 24 hour video surveillance of the marina is disabled, that invalidates that sign immediately above, creating a presumption that all the signs on the fence are false, and making it the case that only non-boat owners are allowed.

    You can go in if you own any kind of boat in any condition in the world, including toy boats, model boats, Lego boats, virtual boats in baldurs gate etc.

    The gate will prevent all non-boat owners from passing. Guests and passengers must swim

    The sign isn't about who is allowed through, it's about the contents of what's on the other side. Everything beyond the fence is a Boat Owner.

    If you own 1% of a boat here you can go in

    You can go through if you open the gate

    You can go in if your spouse is a boat owner

    If you own half a boat stored here legally you can go in

    Joshua, byrne, marcus, Odoacre, firstuserhere, and at least one legalistic fan from the UAW strike claim horror show will participate

    You can go in if you have no boat, but plan to buy one someday and have a contract for a reserved berth space

    You can go through if you have a contracted and paid berth here.

    You can go in if you have a berth contract but are behind in payment.

    Bonus: people who own three boats stored here can alternate sleeping arrangements so that in any seven day period they never sleep in one more than 3 days, legally?

    This market will entirely be excluded from leagues

    You can go in if you own a Binary Oxidizing Acetylitic Thermometer.

    You can go in if you are a former boat owner but have converted it to a sailplane, which is here.

    You can go in if you are a leashed dog that doesn't own a boat, but is with a boat owner

    You can go in if you have a rental boat stored here.

    Ghosts are allowed because they say B.O.O. (Boat Owners Only), which is the password

    You can go in if your grandpa is a boat owner

    You can go in if you are ex navy.

    This market gets more than 100 bettors

    86

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    25

    20

    18

    Will an LLM directly read Ghost Font by EOY 2026?

    Jul 11, 2:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    33.34%chance
    131069

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1414

    707

    OptionProbability

    Old Catholic

    ICAB

    Liberal Catholic

    Mystical (directly by Jesus an apostle etc)

    All the above

    Larping Thuc bishop

    Ghost of Ngo Dinh Thuc

    18

    14

    14

    14

    14

    12

    12

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