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Pakistan-Linked APT36 Deploys Linux Desktop Shortcut Malware in Fresh India Spying Push

10 months ago

Will Bitcoin ever go below $10,000 again?

Jan 20, 12:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50.72%chance

204335370

OptionVotes

YES

1387

885

Let's all bet on what Slay the Spire 2 will be like! Go to town

Jun 17, 4:16 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

48126850

OptionProbability

It will have a new character (not just a revision or morph)

Jorbs will play it on twitch live in the first week of release

In mid 2026 there will be more concurrent players on StS 2 than on StS 1

The final boss will be the heart (or some obvious natural evolution of that character)

All current cards for at least one character will be playable

It will be released first in 2024

It will be released first in 2025

There will be some game mechanic like ascension levels but they will go higher or take more steps than sts1's ascension 20

It will have four playable characters on release

100

Will Pavel Durov (Telegram’s CEO) go to jail?

Aug 24, 10:15 PMAug 25, 8:59 PM

7.13%chance

10156036

OptionVotes

YES

5467

520

Will Asahifuji (Ochirsaikhan/Ochiru) go undefeated through the end of 2026?

Nov 11, 5:20 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

3.56%chance

1150592

OptionVotes

YES

52049

1924

By 2029 will any AI be able to watch a movie and accurately tell you what is going on? (Gary Marcus benchmark #1)

Sep 16, 8:33 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

86.75%chance

9327406

OptionVotes

YES

1872

1109

Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030?

Sep 11, 4:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.31%chance

7312129

OptionVotes

YES

1108

910

Will Pete Hegseth go to prison?

Dec 21, 5:14 AMDec 21, 5:12 AM

133629

OptionProbability

Not before 31 December 2030

in 2030

in 2028

in 2029

in 2026

in 2027

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Oct 17, 6:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

68.7%chance

313019

OptionVotes

YES

1023

838

Will U.S. employment in Diagonistic Imaging Centers (proxy for radiologists) go below 2022 levels by 2034?

Sep 15, 9:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.94%chance

61500

OptionVotes

YES

11500

8696

Will Bitcoin go below $1000 USD before 2035?

Jan 30, 10:45 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

8%chance

141225

OptionVotes

YES

1286

947

Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?

Dec 27, 4:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55%chance

11274

OptionVotes

YES

242

126

What restaurants in NYC will I like if I go to them? [ADD RESPONSES]

May 27, 7:03 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

OptionProbability

Gage & Tollner

Dhamaka

Theodora

Atoboy

Tadhana

Semma

Dirt Candy

Rezdora

Crown Shy

Atera

Farra

Zou Zou

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Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
India
Infosec
Tech
Pakistan-Linked APT36 Deploys Linux Desktop Shortcut Malware in Fresh India Spying Push
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10 months ago

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Prediction markets for Go

Prediction markets for Go

Prediction markets for Go

Will Bitcoin ever go below $10,000 again?

Let's all bet on what Slay the Spire 2 will be like! Go to town

Will Pavel Durov (Telegram’s CEO) go to jail?

Will Asahifuji (Ochirsaikhan/Ochiru) go undefeated through the end of 2026?

By 2029 will any AI be able to watch a movie and accurately tell you what is going on? (Gary Marcus benchmark #1)

Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030?

Will Pete Hegseth go to prison?

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Will U.S. employment in Diagonistic Imaging Centers (proxy for radiologists) go below 2022 levels by 2034?

Will Bitcoin go below $1000 USD before 2035?

Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?

What restaurants in NYC will I like if I go to them? [ADD RESPONSES]

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