Good Night News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Good Night
OptionProbability
54
17
12
3
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Manifold poker nights attendance exceed Manifold daily active users?
Apr 13, 2:06 AMApr 20, 3:59 AM
31.36%chance
9480
OptionVotes
267
157
OptionProbability
15
14
14
11
11
10
10
7
7
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
59.88%chance
19407
OptionVotes
1081
928
[Carlini questions] Chance off-the-shelf AI system can play as well as casual player on arbitrary board game given rules
Mar 24, 1:49 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
7207
OptionProbability
77
44
OptionVotes
101
99
Will Tumbles understand why raising interest rates lowers inflation? (before 2026)
Nov 17, 2:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.98%chance
7145
OptionVotes
143
70
OptionProbability
100
100
80
59
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50