Good Night News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Good Night
OptionProbability
50
24
5
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
28.12%chance
251306
OptionVotes
1669
510
Will Manifold poker nights attendance exceed Manifold daily active users?
Apr 13, 2:06 AMApr 20, 3:59 AM
31.36%chance
9480
OptionVotes
267
157
[Carlini questions] Chance off-the-shelf AI system can play as well as casual player on arbitrary board game given rules
Mar 24, 1:49 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
7362
OptionProbability
93
51
OptionVotes
107
93
OptionProbability
100
100
80
54
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
Will Tumbles understand why raising interest rates lowers inflation? (before 2027)
Jan 5, 10:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
72.57%chance
550
OptionVotes
113
95