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Top stories

Musk’s xAI Recruits Dozens of Ex-Google Engineers to Speed AI Push

Musk’s xAI Recruits Dozens of Ex-Google Engineers to Speed AI Push

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Google Ads

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.04%chance

508725007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16811

12177

OpenAI abandon answer independence on ads before 2028?

Feb 11, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.75%chance

13713512

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1433

698

By when will Google add ads to Gemini?

Dec 8, 7:05 PMDec 8, 6:54 PM

2412573

OptionProbability

By Jan 1, 2028

By Jan 1, 2027

By Dec 1, 2026

By Jan 1, 2026

By Feb 1, 2026

By Mar 1, 2026

By Apr 1, 2026

By May 1, 2026

By Jun 1, 2026

By Jul 1, 2026

By Aug 1, 2026

By Sep 1, 2026

By Oct 1, 2026

By Nov 1, 2026

42

8

5

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.77%chance

347169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3717

270

Will the Justice Department win its antitrust suit against Google?

Jan 24, 6:00 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

13.47%chance

292715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2052

699

Will a Google Deepmind model be ranked in the top 3 models at the end of 2026?

Aug 17, 5:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.92%chance

222242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1396

716

Google deploys ads in Gemini web or mobile app by end of 2026

Jan 8, 5:08 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

7.23%chance

292191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

358

28

Will Google look substantially different as a company in 36 months?

May 10, 11:42 AMMay 1, 11:31 AM

12.23%chance

222183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2679

373

When will the EU Commission's investigation into Google's AdTech business end?

Jul 28, 11:52 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

3369

OptionProbability

2027/2028

2025/2026

2029/2030

After 2030

2023/2024

33

27

24

16

1

Will Google Trends add "The Moon" as an selectable geographic location before January 1, 2028?

May 25, 9:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.13%chance

5285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

228

44

In what year will the Google Pixel release a version with the next standard connector adopted after USB-C?

May 7, 7:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7153

OptionProbability

Other

2031

2030

2029

2026

2027

2028

2025

34

21

16

14

4

4

4

3

Will Microsoft add Google Gemini as a selectable model in Excel Agent Mode by end of 2026?

May 13, 4:12 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

12%chance

298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

176

85

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
AI Modeling
AI
Musk’s xAI Recruits Dozens of Ex-Google Engineers to Speed AI Push
Authors
3
1 year ago

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