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Prediction markets for Grammy Awards
Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
Nov 17, 2:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM
21.37%chance
3715435
OptionVotes
19178
5218
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win any of these awards or prizes before 2040?
Mar 12, 7:22 AMFeb 2, 1:29 PM
16.22%chance
25680
OptionVotes
229
44
OptionVotes
368
272
Will Olivia Rodrigo have a Billboard number 1 single in 2026?
Dec 15, 11:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
84.08%chance
7258
OptionVotes
429
113
Will AI-generated content be nominated for a major award (like the Oscars or Grammys) by the end of 2026
Jul 8, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11.28%chance
10243
OptionVotes
280
36
Will a primarily AI-generated work be nominated for a major entertainment award (Emmy, Grammy, Oscar, Tony) in 2026?
Dec 21, 9:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
11.78%chance
6208
OptionVotes
274
37
Will Book of Mormon still be performing shows on Broadway on Jan 1st 2030?
Dec 4, 6:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM
64.83%chance
11149
OptionVotes
283
102
OptionVotes
150
67