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Top stories

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Prediction markets for Grammy Awards

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

Nov 17, 2:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

31.74%chance

306234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14661

6824

Who will win Album of the Year at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Feb 3, 2:15 AMMar 1, 4:59 AM

135335

OptionProbability

Lady Gaga - Mayhem

YE - Bully

Lana Del Rey - The Right Person Will Stay

Conan Gray - Wishbone

32

3

3

2

Will AI-generated content be nominated for a major award (like the Oscars or Grammys) by the end of 2025

Jul 8, 5:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.48%chance

294758

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4829

423

Song of the Year at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Nov 10, 11:12 AMFeb 9, 5:59 AM

161305

OptionProbability

Golden - Hunter/x

Luther - Kendrick Lamar & SZA

Wildflower - Billie Eilish

Abracadabra - Lady Gaga

Anxiety - Doechii

APT. - Rosé & Bruno Mars

DtMF - Bad Bunny

Manchild - Sabrina Carpenter

40

33

11

9

2

2

2

2

Who will win Album of the Year at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Nov 8, 7:49 PMFeb 1, 11:30 PM

11756

OptionProbability

Bad Bunny — DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS

Lady Gaga — MAYHEM

Kendrick Lamar — GNX

Tyler, the Creator — Chromakopia

Sabrina Carpenter — Man’s Best Friend

Leon Thomas — MUTT

Clipse, Pusha T & Malice — Let God Sort Em Out

Justin Bieber — SWAG

32

29

23

8

3

3

2

1

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win any of these awards or prizes before 2040?

Mar 12, 7:22 AMFeb 2, 1:29 PM

18.88%chance

23632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

207

48

Record of the Year at the 2026 Grammys?

Dec 1, 11:02 AMFeb 4, 5:59 AM

4425

OptionProbability

Luther - Kendrick Lamar with SZA

APT. - ROSÉ & Bruno Mars

Wildflower- Billie Eilish

Abracadabra - Lady Gaga

Anxiety - Doechii

Manchild - Sabrina Carpenter

DtMF - Bad Bunny

The Subway - Chappell Roan

42

21

8

7

7

7

7

3

Will AI-generated content be nominated for a major award (like the Oscars or Grammys) by the end of 2026

Jul 8, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.42%chance

8232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

36

Will there be a new EGOT by the end of 2026?

Mar 3, 9:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.52%chance

9224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

378

269

Will Book of Mormon still be performing shows on Broadway on Jan 1st 2030?

Dec 4, 6:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM

64.83%chance

11149

OptionVotes

NO

YES

283

102

Addison Rae releases new album in 2026?

Nov 21, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.7%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Best New Artist at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Nov 17, 11:03 AMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

225

OptionProbability

Olivia Dean

Addison Rae

Katseye

The Marias

Sombr

Leon Thomas

Alex Warren

Lola Young

36

12

9

9

9

9

9

9

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