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Prediction markets for Grok AI
OptionVotes
4024
929
Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?
Mar 2, 8:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
29.8%chance
7115986
OptionVotes
1099
416
OptionVotes
4157
241
OptionVotes
3049
331
OptionVotes
1822
391
OptionVotes
2000
500
OptionVotes
1376
727
will this tweet hold up: I predict that chess will be essentially fully solved (like checkers) within 10 years.
May 13, 4:45 PMMay 14, 6:59 AM
8.62%chance
251465
OptionVotes
977
951
air traffic control integrated with grok by end of Trump admin?
Feb 5, 7:27 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM
3.41%chance
12731
OptionVotes
532
19
Will Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?
Jan 30, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.98%chance
9426
OptionVotes
877
409
Will 'From Keynes to the Machine Age' receive substantive critical engagement from qualified experts by 2026?
Oct 11, 4:16 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM
39.02%chance
3250
OptionVotes
1250
800
Prediction markets advocated as system architecture in 2026?
Jan 18, 2:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.89%chance
5160
OptionVotes
260
38
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