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Prediction markets for Halloween
🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (10 DONE)
Jan 4, 4:14 AMJan 5, 3:40 AM
253104
OptionProbability
98
93
90
87
87
85
83
83
83
82
80
78
76
76
76
76
73
72
71
66
66
66
66
66
66
66
66
66
66
66
66
65
65
62
61
61
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
57
56
56
56
55
55
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
46
46
46
43
38
36
36
34
34
34
31
31
28
25
24
24
22
18
15
14
14
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026?
Oct 31, 11:55 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM
20.73%chance
121806
OptionVotes
1955
511
Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of Halloween 2026?
May 6, 1:46 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM
16.12%chance
19997
OptionVotes
228
44
OptionVotes
377
27
OptionVotes
1359
870
Will Halloween be a US national Federal holiday at least once by end of 2033
Oct 30, 6:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.07%chance
6280
OptionVotes
220
45
Will Halloween be a US state holiday in at least one state by end of 2033
Oct 30, 7:32 PMNov 3, 10:59 PM
20%chance
6252
OptionVotes
200
50
A self described Solarpunk movie has a theatre release before Halloween 2030
Jan 9, 12:44 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM
66.28%chance
12199
OptionVotes
1089
945
Will I be able to take a waymo between manhattan and any other state or borough by the end of Halloween 2026?
Dec 4, 4:55 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM
23%chance
6122
OptionVotes
183
55
Will Donald Trump be the first US President to live in exile? [clarified, by 2030 Halloween]
Oct 17, 1:37 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM
16.09%chance
4105
OptionVotes
194
49
Will anyone notable in the longevity community dress up FULL OF MICROPLASTICS for Halloween?
Aug 28, 3:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
60.69%chance
125
OptionVotes
124
80