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Eight Sleep Raises $100 Million, Nears Unicorn Valuation for AI Sleep Tech

9 hours ago

When will Joe Biden die?

Oct 15, 12:32 PMNov 11, 10:00 PM

33675148

OptionProbability

2030 or later

2027-2029

Nov 6, 2024 to 2025

2026

Before 2024

Before the 2024 US presidential election

In 2024, but after the US presidential election

Which of Sabine Hossenfelder's predictions from "What will they think about us in 2085?" will be right?

Jun 30, 2:34 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

192792

OptionProbability

Cash will become extinct and replaced with digital alternatives by 2040

Developed nations will soon stop legally or socially enforcing monogamy, with polyamory becoming more accepted

Human delivery workers will soon be replaced by drones

Slaughtering animals for food will go out of fashion and be outlawed by 2125

Self-driving cars will become the norm and human driving will be illegal except in emergencies by 2045

Smart homes will be made obsolete by advanced robots by 2085

Supersonic planes will make a comeback by 2085

Advanced imaging technology for daily health checks will become standard in households by 2050

Touch screens, keyboards and handheld devices will be replaced with motion capture and AR by 2045

Combustion engines will become obsolete by 2040

VR will remain a niche technology by 2085

The quantum internet will fade into obscurity by 2085

Growing fetuses in synthetic uteruses replaces pregnancy as the norm by 2055

Will I send my autoimmune disease (Hashimoto’s) into remission through diet and lifestyle changes alone?

May 16, 12:24 AMSep 23, 12:02 AM

37.78%chance

11875

OptionVotes

YES

1283

779

Will the WHO Global Air Quality Guidelines set stricter recommendations for PM2.5 and PM10 air pollution before 2030?

Feb 28, 12:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.81%chance

8519

OptionVotes

YES

961

442

What year will Japan's pressurized rover land on the Moon?

Apr 14, 8:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5154

Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?

Jul 21, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.32%chance

4154

OptionVotes

YES

218

Will mental-health / subjective-wellbeing interventions in LMIC get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 6:06 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

64.69%chance

5110

OptionVotes

YES

356

226

Will alcohol, tobacco, & sugar taxation get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 6:12 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.09%chance

696

OptionVotes

YES

281

157

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When will Joe Biden die?

Which of Sabine Hossenfelder's predictions from "What will they think about us in 2085?" will be right?

Will I send my autoimmune disease (Hashimoto’s) into remission through diet and lifestyle changes alone?

Will the WHO Global Air Quality Guidelines set stricter recommendations for PM2.5 and PM10 air pollution before 2030?

What year will Japan's pressurized rover land on the Moon?

Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?

Will mental-health / subjective-wellbeing interventions in LMIC get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will alcohol, tobacco, & sugar taxation get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Latest stories

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