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Prediction markets for Health Check
OptionProbability
50
27
12
9
1
0
0
Which of Sabine Hossenfelder's predictions from "What will they think about us in 2085?" will be right?
Jun 30, 2:34 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM
192792
OptionProbability
87
86
69
68
67
64
60
46
35
28
20
20
10
Will I send my autoimmune disease (Hashimoto’s) into remission through diet and lifestyle changes alone?
May 16, 12:24 AMSep 23, 12:02 AM
37.78%chance
11875
OptionVotes
1283
779
Will the WHO Global Air Quality Guidelines set stricter recommendations for PM2.5 and PM10 air pollution before 2030?
Feb 28, 12:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
68.81%chance
8519
OptionVotes
961
442
Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?
Jul 21, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.32%chance
4154
OptionVotes
218
46
Will mental-health / subjective-wellbeing interventions in LMIC get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 6:06 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
64.69%chance
5110
OptionVotes
356
226
Will alcohol, tobacco, & sugar taxation get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 6:12 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
70.09%chance
696
OptionVotes
281
157
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