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Prediction markets for Hold from Buy
Will Jim Fund's assets be worth more than $20,000,000 on Jan1'29
Nov 18, 5:55 AMNov 7, 10:59 AM
19.69%chance
920668
OptionVotes
15088
92
Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term?
Dec 24, 11:52 PMJan 21, 6:59 AM
18%chance
5710919
OptionVotes
2196
482
OptionProbability
459
432
OptionProbability
441
280
Will Trump kill or neuter Vox or The Atlantic during his term?
Jan 16, 5:09 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM
13.4%chance
153312
OptionVotes
2542
393
Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?
May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM
44.21%chance
463034
OptionVotes
996
951
OptionVotes
1795
557
OptionProbability
90
87
85
73
54
46
41
33
Will Elon get margin called on the loans he took against his Tesla holdings to buy Twitter?
Mar 29, 12:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5%chance
16826
OptionVotes
436
23
Robo-Palanquin - human-carrying robot available by mid 2034
May 21, 8:44 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
47.95%chance
5350
OptionVotes
1042
960
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks before 2027?
Jun 7, 10:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.41%chance
9177
OptionVotes
220
77
Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?
Nov 8, 10:09 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM
56.94%chance
1150
OptionVotes
1150
870
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