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Prediction markets for Hyperbolic
OptionProbability
84
11
3
3
OptionVotes
1328
929
Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?
May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM
50.5%chance
442809
OptionVotes
1066
868
OptionVotes
2683
947
OptionVotes
383
26
OptionVotes
295
91
⚽ Will Francesco Camarda be considered a top player before 2034?
Oct 4, 6:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
19.51%chance
598
OptionVotes
119
45
Will "Hyperbolic model fits METR capabilities estim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Aug 22, 10:22 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
13.33%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
992
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