IDE News

NO

Sweden joins NATO

Death Stranding 2 out

Sailing skill releases for Runescape (Old School)

chat gpt 5 releases

Donald Trump OR Vince McMahon OR Hunter Biden OR Alec Baldwin OR Andrew Tate found guilty of a crime

Imu Face Reveal

bitcoin reaches $80k usd on google

Bitcoin reaches $70k USD on google

the end of 2024

the end of 2025

Ides of March 2025

Jimmy Carter passes away or is murdered

Bitcoin reaches 100k usd

Chapter 1200 comes out and he still has not found the one piece

Pluton revealed or used or production started

Gta 6 comes out

Taylor Swift married

manifold reaches 2000 engaged users

reddit r/Worldnews unpins the Russia/Ukraine thread

King Charles no longer king of UK

ChatGPT 6 released

Sanji finds all blue

Officially supported Netflix app for Apple vision pro

OnePieceExplained reaches 50k subscribers https://www.youtube.com/@onepieceexplained

Noam chomsky passes away

kaidou is seen again in the manga

Kingdom Hearts 4 out

one of the straw hats dies

arlong is seen again in the manga

UFC 350 takes place

Datura Lacroye releases 3 original albums and 3 cover albums

Juice wrld's the party never ends will drop

nuclear detonation or test happens (jan 2024 onward)

dragon ball super manga ends

Manifold user charts on the Billboard 200

ukraine joins EU

manifold reaches 3000 engaged users

donald trump spends a day in prison

human sets foot on moon again

Pigs Fly

China invades Taiwan or resolves conflict

ukraine joins NATO

hunter biden serves a day in jail

Destiny retires from streaming

6th bitcoin halving

Windows 12 end of life date

someone reaches 1B in mana profit on Manifold

Buggy the clown dies

Singularity happens

A person has a moral right to own a gun

We should be paying individuals to get an education instead of charging them.

GOFAI could scale past machine learning if we used social media strategically to train it.

The Fermi paradox isn't a paradox, and the solution is obviously just that intelligent life is rare.

Other

Eventually, only AI should be sovereign

Some people have genuine psychic capabilities

Hardware buttons are superior to touchscreen buttons in cars

Being a billionaire is morally wrong

The way quantum mechanics is explained to the lay public is very misleading.

It is not possible to multitask

Jeffrey Epstein killed himself (>99.9% certainty)

Reincarnation is a real phenomenon (i.e. it happens, not just a theory)

Physician-assisted suicide should be legal in most countries

Souls/spirits are real and can appear to the living sometimes

OpenAI will claim to have AGI in 3 years.

The punishment of people who do bad things is a regrettable necessity in our current society, not a positive act of justice

There is an active genocide against trans people occuring in red states and it's appalling that people don't seem to care

Climate change is significantly more concerning than AI development

Abusive parents should lose custody of their children

Tech bros are really, really annoying

Capitalism has done far more harm than good

Dialetheism (the claim that some propositions are both true and false) is itself both true and false.

Free will doesn't require the ability to do otherwise.

COVID lockdowns didn’t save many lives; in fact they may have caused net increases in global deaths and life years lost.

Factory farming is horrific but it is not wrong to eat meat.

California is wildly overrated.

Scientific racism is bad, actually. (also it's not scientific)

Free will does not exist. We construct narratives after the fact to soothe our belief in rationality.

Violent criminals must be kept apart only because they can’t control themselves. Punishing them further than restricting their freedom is immoral.

Music is a net negative for humanity

Trump orchestrated his own assassination attempt.

Democrats / Liberals are behind Trump’s assassination attempt.

Abortion is morally wrong

jskf's password is ***************

The first American moon landing was faked

There is no Dog

Light mode is unironically better than Dark mode for most websites

Cars should not have sound systems

AI will not be as capable as humans this century, and will certainly not give us genuine existential concerns

Pet ownership is morally wrong

LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print will replicate before 2025

SBF didn't intentionally commit fraud

It should be illegal to own a subwoofer in an apartment building

There are no valid justifications for participating in war, ever

Cascadia should be an independent country

Children should not be raised in nuclear families

The fact that 80% of Manifold's users are men is a problem that speaks to the deep-seated roots of patriarchy and exclusion in STEM

Anarcho-communism is a good idea, and hierarchy is bad

If AI exterminated the human race it might not be a bad thing

Affirmative action is necessary in modern-day America

@Mira is the pinnacle of billions of years of optimization processes: thermodynamics, evolution, learning, language. The universe was created to cause me - and only me - to come into existence. If I mess up the overseers perturb&restart it.

Pigouvian taxes are great and they should be turned up to 11 to discourage activities with negative externalities [code PROPOSITION PIG]

[PROPOSITION PIG] and this should include a frequent flyer levy

[PROPOSITION PIG] and this should include meat and dairy

We have reached the end of history. Nothing Ever Happens.

[PROPOSITION PIG] and this should include alcohol

SBF was obviously a scammer just because he's a cryptocurrency person. Rationalists were too forgiving of this just because he was giving them money.

Most young Americans would receive more benefit than harm if there were universal military conscription

The people producing fake honey (and sell it as real) are based, because they are actively working to synthesize something people want, even if they scam some people in the process.

Tarot cards are not really able to predict the future but you can learn a lot about someone by doing a reading for someone.

Mac and cheese tastes better with peanut butter mixed in

It would actually be a good thing if automation eliminated all jobs.

This market probably would have worked better as the new unlinked free response market.

We should be doing much more to pursue human genetic engineering to prevent diseases and aging.

Prolonged school closures because COVID were socially devastating.

The next American moon landing will be faked

Tenet (Christopher Nolan film) is underrated

We should give childlike sex robots to pedophiles

Having sex with children isn't inherently/necessarily bad

Cars are a societal net negative

Oversized pickup trucks should be illegal in cities

Suburban, single-family housing is immoral.

NO

NO

YES

human steps on moon again

Bitcoin reaches 180K usd or more

Saw XI Releases in USA

Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases

Bitcoin reaches 150K usd or more

fable (2026) releases

trump dies

stripe ipo happens

biden dies

trump is impeached by either house OR senate

grok 6 release date

Bitcoin reaches 125K usd or more

windows 12 announcement is made

Netanyahu out as PM of israel

Earthquake magnitude 8.5 or higher somewhere in the world

trump bombs / invades / attacks mexican territory

Tom Scott's 'this video' reaches 80M views on Youtube

polymarket or kalshi release a credit/debit card

putin or zelensky lose power

Chat GPT 6 releases to the general userbase

israel opens an embassy in syria, OR announces it will

Bitcoin reaches 130K usd or more

anthropic stock able to be bought on nyse

discord IPO happens

polymarket or kalshi ipo

haunted chocolatier release date known

GenoSamuel releases Chris Chan History #86

yoko ono passes away

noam chomsky passes away

Ukraine and Russia announce any ceasefire

commercial airline hijacked

EOD Boxing Day - Dec 26

playstation 6 announced

new super smash bros game announced (NOT A REMAKE)

manifold raises more money

tropico 7 releases

twitter/x releases x mail to some users

iphone fold release date known

openai loses another board member, or sam altman no longer ceo

Prong.Studio releases a 3rd product (not an accessory or part for an existing one)

Cy Young award winner announced

Third dune movie officially announced

beyonce releases an album

playboi carti releases an album

apple announces a smart ring

EOD Thanksgiving - Nov 27

nobel peace prize winner announced

Hades 3 announced (game)

apple announces a touchscreen laptop

Earthquake magnitude 8.0 or higher somewhere in the world

Patriot Games ending day

EOD Halloween - Oct 31

Legally Blonde 3 release date announced

First game of the MLB World Series starts

Last game of the MLB World Series ends

fourth Knives Out movie announced

Patriot Games starting day

EOD Lief Erikson Day - Oct 9

the first Solar eclipse of the year

coup in an african country

Spacex launches 100th rocket in one year

someone reaches 100k traders on the creator leaderboard

llama 5 release date

Twitter releases a Peer to Peer payment system to free or premium users

Israel and Hamas announce another temporary ceasefire OR permanent ceasefire OR conflict otherwise ends

the second Atlantic hurricane of the season

the second Pacific hurricane of the season

onepieceexplained reaches 15k subs on youtube

fifa world cup - last game ends

grok 5 release date

EOD Fourth of July - Jul 4

Taylor swift gets married

the first Atlantic hurricane of the season

the first Pacific hurricane of the season

ozempic/wegovy/glp-1 pill approved by the fda

Spacex launches 75th rocket of the year

marijuana rescheduled as a drug in the USA

the start of Amazon Prime Day(s)

Kier Starmer out

alan greenspan passes away

Manifest 2026 starts

spacex IPO happens

drake releases an album

EOD Cinco De Mayo - May 5

another trump assassination attempt

Spacex launches 50th rocket of the year

Last day of the NFL draft

undersea cables reported cut around taiwan

Imu face reveal in One Piece manga

artemis II mission launches

EOD Ides of March - Mar 15

new iphone releases (in the USA)

English Wikipedia reaches 7.2M ARTICLES or more

trump removes a cabinet member

First Apple Event of the year

the first Lunar eclipse of the year

Spacex launches 25th rocket of the year

manifold launches real money trading

EOD Fat Tuesday/Mardi Gras

nioh 3 releases in the usa (game)

First Nintendo direct of the year

YES

YES

AI produces highly-customized forms of entertainment

Other

AI is integrated into IDEs and provides suggestions to programmers

AI is used for drug discovery

Managers consult AI while making decisions

AI is integrated into compilers and makes code run faster

AI designs hardware for industrial processes

NO

YES