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Prediction markets for IMO
Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?
Jul 19, 2:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
67.85%chance
6617807
OptionVotes
10162
9359
Will a publicly-available LLM achieve gold on IMO before 2026?
Jul 26, 11:03 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
90.71%chance
5516460
OptionVotes
3125
320
OptionVotes
2077
1865
OptionProbability
79
12
6
2
1
Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]
Jul 19, 2:27 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM
54.94%chance
184642
OptionVotes
1104
906
What IMO Shortlist topic (ACGN) will be the easiest for the first AI solving multiple shortlist problems?
Dec 15, 2:56 AMDec 29, 5:59 AM
203810
OptionProbability
99
1
0
0
Will the IMO grand challenge be completed before the end of 2030?
May 19, 5:36 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM
88.24%chance
182653
OptionVotes
2633
503
OptionVotes
1151
604
OptionVotes
1925
527
How many years between an AI scoring bronze on an IMO and an AI solving half of a Miklós Schweitzer exam?
Dec 31, 8:06 AMDec 18, 7:56 AM
15%chance
11605
OptionProbability
778
344
OptionVotes
107
94
OptionVotes
118
85
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