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Prediction markets for International Court of Justice
Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
16%chance
364112279
OptionVotes
2272
996
OptionVotes
4559
219
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
56.6%chance
9413352
OptionVotes
1142
876
Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, Palestine?
Mar 14, 5:30 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
29.2%chance
308254
OptionVotes
156
64
Will ICJ find Israel in breach of the Genocide Convention?
Feb 15, 5:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
57.42%chance
363636
OptionVotes
1161
861
If ICJ rules in favor of SA, then which nominee wins 2024 US election?
Jun 3, 6:00 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
43360
OptionProbability
20
0
Will we learn that Anthropic lied to investors about operating profitable in Q2 2026 before 2028?
May 25, 8:51 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
10.1%chance
131703
OptionVotes
1764
95
Will Donald Trump get more judges appointed in his second term than his first?
Nov 7, 2:42 AMJan 16, 7:59 AM
59.42%chance
5410
OptionVotes
1210
826
🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]
Oct 9, 3:20 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM
8342
OptionProbability
86
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will the International Court of Justice rule in favor of Guyana in their case against Venezuela?
Dec 6, 2:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
90.49%chance
6265
OptionVotes
287
57
Will the ICJ find Myanmar in breach of the Genocide Convention?
May 31, 9:30 PMJan 1, 10:29 PM
66.82%chance
561
OptionVotes
142
70
Will any government let AI issue binding incarceration decisions without human final approval by the end of 2030?
Nov 7, 2:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
50
50
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