International Mathematical Olympiad News

OpenAI Reasoning System Wins Gold at 2025 IOI, Ranking Sixth Among 330 Humans and First Among AI Without Specific Training

1 year ago

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.56%chance

154223270

OptionVotes

YES

58291

46413

When will a freely available LLM achieve IMO gold?

Aug 8, 7:26 PMAug 1, 9:34 PM

265001

OptionProbability

2027

2030 or later

2026

2028

2029

What years will AI win IMO bronze (or higher)?

Jan 18, 1:09 AMJan 2, 12:35 AM

284973

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2029

2028

2024

100

Time between AI winning IMO gold medal and AI winning IMO grand challenge (see description)

Jun 26, 6:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

94215

OptionProbability

>= 25 years

< 25 years

< 4 years

< 10 years

< 1 year

< 2 years

< 1 month

< 4 months

< 1 week

What IMO Shortlist topic (ACGN) will be the easiest for the first AI solving multiple shortlist problems?

Dec 15, 2:56 AMDec 29, 5:59 AM

203945

OptionProbability

Geometry

Algebra

Combinatorics

Number Theory

Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?

Mar 4, 1:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43%chance

333838

OptionVotes

YES

1190

253

What years will AlphaGeometry win IMO bronze (or higher)?

Jan 18, 1:23 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

102043

OptionProbability

2029

2028

2027

2024

2025

2026

Will I ever make IMO?

Jun 9, 1:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.53%chance

231853

OptionVotes

YES

1808

569

Will XTX Markets award the grand prize from Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad Prize before 2030?

Nov 27, 6:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

85.11%chance

9884

OptionVotes

YES

364

103

Will the IMO (International Mathematical Olympiad) be held in this country?

Jul 23, 12:49 AMJul 23, 12:41 AM

5381

OptionProbability

IMO 2027 held in Hungary

IMO 2029 held in Mongolia

IMO 2030 held in Switzerland

IMO 2031 held in USA

IMO 2028 held in Saudi Arabia

What IMO Shortlist topic (ACN) will be the second easiest for the first AI solving multiple shortlist problems?

Jan 17, 11:18 PMDec 30, 10:59 PM

8128

OptionProbability

Algebra

Number Theory

Combinatorics

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.92%chance

OptionVotes

YES

105

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Aug 11, 2025
Aug 11, 2025
Math
AI Modeling
Science
OpenAI Reasoning System Wins Gold at 2025 IOI, Ranking Sixth Among 330 Humans and First Among AI Without Specific Training
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1 year ago

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International Mathematical Olympiad News

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Prediction markets for International Mathematical Olympiad

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

When will a freely available LLM achieve IMO gold?

What years will AI win IMO bronze (or higher)?

Time between AI winning IMO gold medal and AI winning IMO grand challenge (see description)

What IMO Shortlist topic (ACGN) will be the easiest for the first AI solving multiple shortlist problems?

Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?

What years will AlphaGeometry win IMO bronze (or higher)?

Will I ever make IMO?

Will XTX Markets award the grand prize from Artificial Intelligence Mathematical Olympiad Prize before 2030?

Will the IMO (International Mathematical Olympiad) be held in this country?

What IMO Shortlist topic (ACN) will be the second easiest for the first AI solving multiple shortlist problems?

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram