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Prediction markets for International Space Station
Will there be a lethal disaster during the Artemis II mission?
Jan 14, 11:17 PMFeb 5, 11:59 PM
3.47%chance
4317237
OptionVotes
5271
190
🌖 What country will be the first to build a nuclear reactor on the Moon?
Aug 5, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:49 AM
142894
OptionProbability
52
16
15
5
5
4
2
OptionVotes
3083
324
Will International Space Station be in orbit on January 1, 2030?
Mar 21, 2:02 PMJan 1, 6:59 PM
71.75%chance
432449
OptionVotes
1062
863
Will NASA award a contract to a new commercial partner to develop a spacesuit by mid 2026?
Jun 25, 9:32 PMJun 1, 1:59 PM
83%chance
51355
OptionVotes
231
47
Will there be off-Earth habitable volume totalling one cubic kilometre by 2050?
Jan 31, 3:45 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
31.85%chance
5540
OptionVotes
1463
684
OptionVotes
114
88
Will the international space station be officially decommissioned before the end of 2030?
May 13, 3:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
41.36%chance
11312
OptionVotes
119
84
During which decade will people establish a permanent presence on the moon?
Jan 17, 11:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
8288
OptionProbability
31
26
24
16
3
Which countries will join both the US's Artemis Accords and China/Russia's International Lunar Research Station?
Apr 16, 6:29 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
4185
OptionProbability
82
59
50
50
44
44
44
44
44
OptionVotes
131
76
OptionVotes
140
97
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