Internet of Things News
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Prediction markets for Internet of Things
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10%chance
8141187
OptionVotes
29364
2889
Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?
Oct 10, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
77.58%chance
11228585
OptionVotes
1862
538
In 2040, will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex?
Mar 15, 1:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
53.1%chance
8512884
OptionVotes
1377
1032
OptionVotes
2569
389
Will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex? (Excluding: sex desire)
Apr 2, 5:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
57.33%chance
438578
OptionVotes
1160
825
By 2026, will a proeminent chatbot with some access to the internet do something actually harmful and unintended?
Feb 17, 6:30 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
65.64%chance
18725
OptionVotes
1056
839
Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?
Mar 24, 9:30 AMJan 1, 6:29 AM
59.37%chance
15591
OptionVotes
1123
765
A way to set up an LLM to send and receive physical mail by mid 2029
Mar 8, 6:58 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
70.48%chance
4545
OptionVotes
1545
647
US Federal Gov't ports their physical mail addresses to something online by mid 2031
Mar 8, 4:48 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
44.14%chance
2125
OptionVotes
1125
889
OptionVotes
178
130
[Carlini questions] Majority of consumer AI applications will operate autonomously on multi-step tasks by year
Mar 24, 2:19 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
570
OptionProbability
66
60
46
44
16
Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?
May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
40.19%chance
122
OptionVotes
122
82