Internet of Things News

1 year ago

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.67%chance

8149972

OptionVotes

YES

28379

3002

Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?

Oct 10, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

86.88%chance

11430322

OptionVotes

YES

2576

389

In 2040, will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex?

Mar 15, 1:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.1%chance

8512884

OptionVotes

YES

1377

1032

Will Trump restrict porn?

Nov 7, 2:45 PMJan 16, 7:59 AM

13.13%chance

5912259

OptionVotes

YES

2572

389

Will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex? (Excluding: sex desire)

Apr 2, 5:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60%chance

438642

OptionVotes

YES

1224

780

Will an available out-of-the-box LLM get >40% win rate on Slay the Spire A20 before August 2027?

Jul 31, 1:09 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

41.94%chance

172227

OptionVotes

YES

1176

850

By 2026, will a proeminent chatbot with some access to the internet do something actually harmful and unintended?

Feb 17, 6:30 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

74.18%chance

221238

OptionVotes

YES

1119

937

Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?

Mar 24, 9:30 AMJan 1, 6:29 AM

59.37%chance

15591

OptionVotes

YES

1123

765

A way to set up an LLM to send and receive physical mail by mid 2029

Mar 8, 6:58 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

70.74%chance

5555

OptionVotes

YES

1555

643

US Federal Gov't ports their physical mail addresses to something online by mid 2031

Mar 8, 4:48 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

37%chance

3305

OptionVotes

YES

1305

766

How will the situation in Russia change till the end of 2026 [PROP BETS/ADD ANSWERS]

Apr 1, 8:36 PMDec 30, 8:02 PM

3145

OptionProbability

It becomes impossible to withdraw from most popular exchange (bybit)

No internet access for significant part of the year for most of people, no wifi, cell and wire.

Real estate average price >30% drop for more than half remaining days

Economical Default

1$>164₽ more than half of remaining days

Will The Internet of Things Ever Become a Thing Again?

Apr 18, 10:25 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

34.89%chance

572

OptionVotes

YES

178

130

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Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?

In 2040, will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex?

Will Trump restrict porn?

Will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex? (Excluding: sex desire)

Will an available out-of-the-box LLM get >40% win rate on Slay the Spire A20 before August 2027?

By 2026, will a proeminent chatbot with some access to the internet do something actually harmful and unintended?

Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?

A way to set up an LLM to send and receive physical mail by mid 2029

US Federal Gov't ports their physical mail addresses to something online by mid 2031

How will the situation in Russia change till the end of 2026 [PROP BETS/ADD ANSWERS]

Will The Internet of Things Ever Become a Thing Again?

Latest stories

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