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Prediction markets for iPhones
5 years from now, will ChatGPT be seen as an "iPhone moment?"
Mar 27, 5:41 AMMar 28, 4:59 AM
86.71%chance
38852556
OptionVotes
2186
1516
OptionVotes
1640
445
Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?
Aug 13, 3:26 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM
11.42%chance
15810665
OptionVotes
3784
937
By EOY 2026, will iPhones have an AI that has access to and remembers everything you did on your phone?
May 21, 6:12 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM
31.26%chance
669220
OptionVotes
1483
674
Will the iPhone be sold in the EU with a user-replaceable battery by 2027?
Jun 16, 7:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.7%chance
646012
OptionVotes
1193
513
Will Apple release an accessory that converts the iPhone into a VR/AR headset (VisionPro) by end of 2028? (~5 years)
Apr 13, 7:11 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
22.09%chance
231501
OptionVotes
1300
874
OptionVotes
1058
945
Iphone is no longer apples dominant product line in terms of revenue by the end of this decade?
Sep 6, 10:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
39.93%chance
15702
OptionVotes
1080
838
Will Apple announce an iPhone model with no external ports for wires or connections before the end of 2027?
May 3, 1:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
24.53%chance
25682
OptionVotes
1022
974
At the end of 2028, how many times the price of a basic plumbing job will it cost to develop a simple iPhone app?
Feb 16, 1:17 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
27.91%chance
11411
OptionProbability
1149
928
Will the iPhone market share drop below 20% worldwide in the next 10 years?
Jan 17, 10:25 AMJan 17, 10:59 PM
27.63%chance
12372
OptionVotes
1082
961
OptionVotes
1107
904
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