Iran News

Israel Pounds Gaza and Intercepts Yemeni Drone, Missile in Escalating Conflict

10 months ago

Israel Strikes Sanaa Again, Probing Reports of Houthi Leadership Deaths

Middle East

Yemen

War

Israel Strikes Sanaa Again, Probing Reports of Houthi Leadership Deaths

10 months ago

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.41%chance

19162825920

OptionVotes

YES

37705

4647

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

23.11%chance

207371464

OptionVotes

YES

1825

549

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27167060

OptionProbability

Yes

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.96%chance

21274943

OptionVotes

YES

13130

2376

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Jan 5, 5:28 AMDec 27, 9:59 PM

27.99%chance

9116337

OptionVotes

YES

457

Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030?

Jun 23, 3:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.36%chance

7513582

OptionVotes

YES

5629

2840

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Mar 13, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.46%chance

9010995

OptionVotes

YES

7898

5078

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?

Jun 24, 9:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.46%chance

447671

OptionVotes

YES

4631

216

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.

Oct 8, 9:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25.28%chance

317004

OptionVotes

YES

2456

973

If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?

Mar 16, 5:30 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

48.95%chance

273283

OptionVotes

YES

2345

1496

Will the US and Iran jointly announce a nuclear framework agreement by June 30, 2026?

Apr 16, 5:41 PMJun 30, 10:00 PM

9.03%chance

422882

OptionVotes

YES

266

Will the U.S. or Israel be at war with Iran at any point during the year in which global peak oil is reached?

May 10, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Yes, Israel

Yes, Both U.S. and Israel

No, and the year is before 2030

Peak oil occurs 2030 or later

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Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030?

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.

If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?

Will the US and Iran jointly announce a nuclear framework agreement by June 30, 2026?

Will the U.S. or Israel be at war with Iran at any point during the year in which global peak oil is reached?

Latest stories

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