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Top stories

Israel Intercepts Yemen Missile After Houthis Escalate Threats

Israel Intercepts Yemen Missile After Houthis Escalate Threats

Authors

11

20 hours ago

Prediction markets for Iran

Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025

Dec 7, 6:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.7%chance

392242657

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4641

462

Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31st, 2025?

Apr 5, 7:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.79%chance

331241274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2177

368

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

53.08%chance

91101678

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1064

940

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2025?

Oct 20, 9:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.84%chance

34795224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19825

9101

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Jun 10, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.02%chance

10234570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13712

9873

US strikes Iran on 2+ separate days in 2025?

Jun 18, 7:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

9429764

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Jan 5, 5:28 AMDec 27, 9:59 PM

25.63%chance

7313919

OptionVotes

YES

NO

468

79

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

Mar 3, 10:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28%chance

579605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1613

561

Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?

Feb 1, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

32%chance

263773

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1458

686

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.

Oct 8, 9:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37%chance

193322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1825

1254

Will the US sustain more than 100 casualties in 2025 as a result of the conflict with Iran?

Jun 22, 2:33 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

7.98%chance

221073

OptionVotes

YES

NO

340

29

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?

Jan 5, 5:29 AMDec 30, 9:59 PM

35.17%chance

9328

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

65

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 1, 2025
Aug 1, 2025
Middle East
War
Politics
Israel Intercepts Yemen Missile After Houthis Escalate Threats
Authors
11
20 hours ago

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