Israeli attacks News

UN Condemns Israel's Blockade on Gaza Tents Amid Health System Collapse, Calls for 60-Day Truce

6 months ago

Israel and Syria Hold U.S.-Facilitated Talks on Security Deal Along 1974 Armistice Line as Lebanese Army Operates Amid UNIFIL Renewal and U.S. Envoy Proposal

5 months ago

When will Benjamin Netanyahu be replaced as Prime Minister of Israel?

Mar 6, 10:35 AMJun 30, 10:59 PM

8818539

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2025

2024

Other

What will happen relating to Iran before April 1, 2026?

Jan 13, 4:09 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

616641

OptionProbability

Significant protests are reported in February and March

The US launches airstrikes

Israel and Iran go to war again

Iran strikes Israel with missiles

The rial loses 1/3 the value it had on January 1, 2026 (unofficially / on the black market)

Iran strikes US bases

The US launches airstrikes on three different days

Iran strikes US bases and kills at least one American

Ayatollah Khamenei is removed from power

The Strait of Hormuz is mined or otherwise closed

US ground troops enter Iran

Conditional on an attack on Iran occurring in 2026, which of Israel and America will strike first?

Jan 14, 7:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61439

OptionProbability

America

Israel

Did Netanyahu knowingly receive money from the Qatari government?

Mar 19, 11:52 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

82.13%chance

71206

OptionVotes

YES

2144

466

Gaza genocide still labeled as genocide by Wikipedia in 2030?

Oct 21, 12:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.7%chance

8539

OptionVotes

YES

110

What year will the Israel-Gaza conflict end?

Oct 20, 11:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14477

OptionProbability

2027

2026

Never/ongoing indefinitely

2028

2030

2029

2031 or later

Null

Credible evidence that Iran was involved in Bondi Beach shooting?

Dec 31, 8:02 AMJul 1, 6:52 AM

4.28%chance

16468

OptionVotes

YES

473

Hamas-Israel hostilities in Gaza resume by June 30, 2026?

Oct 12, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

56.42%chance

15376

OptionVotes

YES

114

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM

44.9%chance

6159

OptionVotes

YES

111

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Aug 24, 2025
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Aug 19, 2025
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UN Condemns Israel's Blockade on Gaza Tents Amid Health System Collapse, Calls for 60-Day Truce
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6 months ago

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Israeli attacks News

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Prediction markets for Israeli attacks

Prediction markets for Israeli attacks

Prediction markets for Israeli attacks

When will Benjamin Netanyahu be replaced as Prime Minister of Israel?

What will happen relating to Iran before April 1, 2026?

Conditional on an attack on Iran occurring in 2026, which of Israel and America will strike first?

Did Netanyahu knowingly receive money from the Qatari government?

Gaza genocide still labeled as genocide by Wikipedia in 2030?

What year will the Israel-Gaza conflict end?

Credible evidence that Iran was involved in Bondi Beach shooting?

Hamas-Israel hostilities in Gaza resume by June 30, 2026?

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Latest stories

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