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Prediction markets for Jack Sparrow
Will Meta have a "mid-level" AI engineer that can write code by the end of 2025?
Jan 13, 7:06 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM
13.23%chance
7149755
OptionVotes
25445
4235
OptionProbability
100
100
94
56
46
36
29
27
25
Will I run a sub-45 min 10k by the end of this year?
Jan 16, 4:54 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM
12.21%chance
136262
OptionVotes
7301
556
OptionVotes
2412
415
Will Hans Niemann become World Chess Champion within the next 25 years?
Jan 31, 4:54 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM
12.75%chance
251975
OptionVotes
1009
539
OptionVotes
205
189
Will Pirates of the Caribbean do an internet piracy themed spinoff before 2028
Feb 19, 3:03 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
3.45%chance
101477
OptionVotes
725
129
Will Daryl Morey win an NBA title as a team executive before 2035?
Feb 10, 8:50 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM
15.05%chance
9586
OptionVotes
600
242
Will an American player win NBA MVP before the start of the 2030-2031 NBA regular reason?
May 11, 9:28 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM
61.17%chance
7166
OptionVotes
126
80
Will the WSJ do an expose-style piece on Bryan Johnson before 2027?
Feb 11, 10:28 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM
62.8%chance
493
OptionVotes
316
287
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