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Prediction markets for Jan
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?
Dec 17, 9:13 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
82.58%chance
351782996
OptionVotes
218024
45679
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
Apr 25, 3:04 AMDec 31, 2:00 PM
8.49%chance
118232237
OptionVotes
3041
971
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
Jul 27, 7:08 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
35.75%chance
14546605
OptionVotes
1330
721
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)
Jul 5, 9:04 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM
71.33%chance
9339766
OptionVotes
2508
1931
Will Vanguard bring a Bitcoin ETF to market before Jan 1 2030?
Jan 11, 6:45 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
32.79%chance
10433498
OptionVotes
1594
1007
OptionVotes
9950
101
🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Sep 24, 9:28 AMOct 3, 2:59 PM
48.92%chance
6123558
OptionVotes
49884
48622
Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027
Jun 25, 10:30 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM
40%chance
7914918
OptionVotes
1225
817
Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030?
May 14, 1:21 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM
16.71%chance
9714405
OptionVotes
1823
1082
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $2 Trillion before Jan 1st, 2030?
Feb 4, 12:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41.46%chance
162411
OptionVotes
1188
842
"Donald Trump US president at any point between Jan 21, 2029, and Jan 20, 2033?"
Apr 1, 4:08 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM
18.66%chance
15955
OptionVotes
3233
2424
Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?
Mar 17, 12:34 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM
59.1%chance
2202
OptionVotes
1202
832
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