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Prediction markets for Jan
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?
Dec 17, 9:13 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
87.08%chance
319722195
OptionVotes
259828
38283
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
Apr 25, 3:04 AMDec 31, 2:00 PM
9.8%chance
118231887
OptionVotes
2691
1006
Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?
Jan 26, 3:07 AMFeb 25, 7:59 AM
1.01%chance
52150686
OptionVotes
125322
4099
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
Jul 27, 7:08 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
33.32%chance
14145141
OptionVotes
1403
683
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)
Jul 5, 9:04 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM
71.33%chance
9339766
OptionVotes
2508
1931
Will Vanguard bring a Bitcoin ETF to market before Jan 1 2030?
Jan 11, 6:45 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
32.79%chance
10433498
OptionVotes
1594
1007
OptionVotes
9950
101
🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Sep 24, 9:28 AMOct 3, 2:59 PM
46.05%chance
5520863
OptionVotes
52857
45934
Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027
Jun 25, 10:30 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM
47.06%chance
7113621
OptionVotes
1061
943
OptionVotes
1398
100
OptionVotes
776
101
"Donald Trump US president at any point between Jan 21, 2029, and Jan 20, 2033?"
Apr 1, 4:08 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM
19.62%chance
14805
OptionVotes
3083
2459
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