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Prediction markets for Journey
Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?
Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM
7757085
OptionProbability
80
16
4
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
1525
656
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
90
76
24
15
10
Will our friend J. get a 6-pack by his wedding in 14 months?
Aug 7, 5:04 PMOct 31, 5:01 PM
59.78%chance
142376
OptionVotes
1219
820
Will an astronaut's life be lost during any stage of spaceflight before 2030?
Jan 31, 4:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
38.23%chance
281788
OptionVotes
1000
980
Will humans land on [eg Mars] without Starship before 2055?
Oct 15, 3:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.14%chance
71666
OptionVotes
1991
502
9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.
Dec 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
59.78%chance
6671
OptionVotes
1221
822
Will "My journey to the microwave alternate timeline" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Feb 10, 11:06 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
39.79%chance
6404
OptionVotes
1217
300
Which previous twist will come back for Survivor 51? [Add Answers]
May 23, 11:03 AMDec 17, 4:00 AM
4158
OptionProbability
66
66
65
65
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
42
42
35
35
35
35
34
OptionVotes
1050
952
How many episodes will the anime "Frieren: Beyond Journey's End" Season 3 have?
Apr 13, 10:01 PMApr 13, 5:38 PM
245
OptionProbability
52
18
15
15
OptionProbability
50
50
50
34
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