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Top stories

Trump Says He Will Publish Names Linked to Jeffrey Epstein

Prediction Markets

Trump Says He Will Publish Names Linked to Jeffrey Epstein

Authors

9

8 days ago

Prediction markets for Kalshi

Will Manifold be acquired by Polymarket or Kalshi by end of 2025?

May 10, 4:54 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

8.56%chance

549957

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2241

437

Will Manifold's post-money valuation be higher than Kalshi's at the end of 2027?

Feb 15, 11:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.73%chance

179592

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2507

646

Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?

Jan 22, 8:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.55%chance

223853

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12830

7603

Will a FOIA request reveal that Kalshi was primarily responsible for CFTC's decision to shut down PredictIt?

Aug 8, 6:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.03%chance

302086

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1508

848

Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against New Jersey?

Mar 31, 10:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.71%chance

102083

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2045

489

Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against Nevada?

Mar 31, 10:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.75%chance

91217

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1768

566

Will a Kalshi worker win a labor rights settlement in any of the following years?

Feb 2, 12:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31211

OptionProbability

No settlements or convictions by end of 2029

2029

2026

2027

2028

2025

54

15

10

9

9

4

Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against Maryland?

Jun 27, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.59%chance

231036

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1551

646

Will Manifold's employee count be higher than Kalshi's at the end of 2027?

Feb 15, 11:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.44%chance

16929

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1593

852

Will Polymarket or Kalshi offer ‘index contracts’ (contracts with continuous payoffs) in 2025?

Feb 16, 6:33 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

22.54%chance

6854

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1854

540

Will Kalshi continue offering interest on cash AND open positions until the conclusion of 2026?

Oct 23, 5:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

64.64%chance

8467

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1352

740

Will Kalshi actually confirm and announce a partnership with X by the end of 2025?

Jun 7, 8:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.61%chance

685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

185

54

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Epstein Files
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Trump Says He Will Publish Names Linked to Jeffrey Epstein
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