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Kimi News

    Prediction markets for Kimi

    OptionProbability

    (JAP) Red flag during Qualyfing session

    [BAH] Safety car during the race

    [BAH] Yuki Tsunoda scores points

    [BAH] Bearman scores points

    [SAU] Safety Car during the race

    [SAU] Tsunoda makes it into Q3

    [SAU] Leclerc will get top 4 in the race

    [MIA] Norris qualifies ahead of Piastri (main race qualifying)

    [MIA] Non-Mclaren pole in Sprint Qualifying

    [MIA] Piastri finishes ahead of Norris in GP

    [MIA] Williams double points in the main GP

    [MIA] Over 3.5 Drivers DNF in the main race

    [MIA] Both McLaren on the podium

    [IMO] Physical Safety Car during the race

    [IMO] Max Verstappen Podium Finish

    [IMO] Colapinto replaces Doohan in at least one session

    [IMO] Piastri qualifies ahead of Norris

    [IMO] Tsunoda scores point(s)

    [MON] Red Flag during Qualifying

    [MON] Pole Sitter wins the race

    [MON] At least one impeding penalty during qualifying

    [MON] 4+ pit stops in the first 5 laps

    [MON] Norris scores more points than Piastri

    [MON] Yellow flag on the 1st lap of the race

    [MON] Both Ferraris finish in top 5

    [SPA] Both Ferraris reach Q3

    [SPA] McLaren Pole Position

    [SPA] McLaren 1-2 (race)

    [CAN] Physical Safety Car during the race

    [CAN] Red Flag during Qualifying

    [CAN] Stroll starts the race

    [CAN] Impeding penalty during Qualifying (at least 1)

    [CAN] Mercedes Podium

    [CAN] Hulkenberg finishes in top 10

    [CAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton

    [AUT] Physical Safety Car during the race

    [AUT] Yellow flag first lap

    [AUT] Bortoleto reaches Q3

    [AUT] McLaren 1-2

    [AUT] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton

    [AUT] Bortoleto finishes top 10

    [GBR] Yellow Flag first lap

    [GBR] Physical Safety Car during the race

    [GBR] McLaren 1-2 (race)

    [GBR] Non-McLaren pole position

    [GBR] VSR virtual safety car during the race.

    [GBR] Gasly finishes in top 10

    [BEL] Physical Safety Car during the main race

    [BEL] McLaren double podium (main race)

    [BEL] Intermediate or wet weather tyres needed for the main race

    [BEL] A Ferrari driver doesn't reach Q3 (main race qualifying)

    [BEL] Bortoleto reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)

    [BEL] Leclerc podium (main race)

    [BEL] Bortoleto in the top 10 (main race)

    [BEL] Hamilton top 10 (main race)

    [HUN] Leclerc finished ahead of Hamilton in the race

    [HUN] Both Aston Martins score points

    [HUN] At least two drivers DNF

    [HUN] Bortoleto finishes in the points

    [HUN] Physical Safety Car during the race

    [HUN] Yellow flag first lap

    [HUN] McLaren 1-2 in the race

    [HUN] Leclerc is in first position at the end of lap 1

    Leave it open for upcoming GP

    [MIA] Safety car in the main race

    [HUN] Antonelli finishes in the points

    [BEL] Yellow flag first lap (main race)

    (JAP) Safety car during the race

    (JAP) A rookie crashes and cannot finish the race (technical problems at the gearbox, power unit etc. won't count, it needs to be a crash)

    (JAP) Yuki Tsunoda scores points

    [JAP] Lawson finishes ahead of Tsunoda

    [BAH] Lawson finishes ahead of Tsunoda

    [BAH] Ferrari on the podium (at least 1 driver)

    [SAU] Mercedes podium (at least 1 driver)

    [SAU] McLaren double podium

    [SAU] Bearman scores points

    [MIA] 🇮🇹 Kimi Antonelli wins the sprint race

    [MIA] 🟥 Red flag during main race qualifying

    [MIA] Antonelli on the Podium

    [IMO] Piastri scores more points than Norris

    [IMO] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)

    [IMO] Aston Martin both drivers score points

    [MON] Physical Safety Car during the race

    [MON] Both Mercedes score points (i.e. top 10)

    [SPA] Virtual Safety Car during the race

    [SPA] Yellow flag first lap

    [SPA] Tsunoda goes into Q3

    [SPA] Sauber reaches Q3 (at least one driver)

    [SPA] someone receives a penalty for obstructing during qualifying

    [SPA] Tsunoda finishes in top 10 (race)

    [SPA] Hamilton finishes ahead of Leclerc (race)

    [SPA] Bortoleto finishes in top 10 (race)

    [CAN] Yellow flag first lap

    [CAN] Tsunoda reaches Q3

    [CAN] Both Williams reach Q3

    [CAN] Williams scores over 5.5 WCC points

    [AUT] 3 different teams on the podium

    [AUT] Tsunoda reaches Q3

    [AUT] Stroll reaches Q3

    [AUT] Impeding penalty during qualifying

    [AUT] Williams scores points (at least one driver)

    [AUT] Verstappen penalty for forcing another driver off the track or a collision.

    [GBR] Both HAAS cars finish in the points (top 10)

    [GBR] Tsunoda reaches Q3

    [GBR] Williams reaches Q3 (at least 1 driver)

    [GBR] At least one Ferrari on the podium

    [GBR] Bearman finishes in top 10

    [GBR] At least one Mercedes on the podium

    [BEL] Two or more cars DNF (main race)

    [BEL] Ferrari in top 3 in the Sprint Qualifying (at least 1 driver)

    [BEL] McLaren 1-2 in the Sprint race

    [BEL] Verstappen gets a penalty in either the sprint or main race

    [BEL] Leclerc on the podium in the sprint race

    [BEL] Red flag during qualifying (for the main race)

    [BEL] main race is cancelled/aborted

    [HUN] Impeding penalty during qualifying (at least 1)

    [HUN] Tsunoda reaches Q3

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    93

    72

    67

    65

    62

    62

    55

    55

    53

    41

    40

    8

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Oscar Piastri (McLaren)

    Lando Norris (McLaren)

    Max Verstappen (Red Bull)

    George Russel (Mercedes)

    Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)

    Yuki Tsunoda (Previously Liam Lawson) (Red Bull)

    Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)

    Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)

    Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)

    Lance Stroll (Aston Martin)

    Pierre Gasly (Alpine)

    Jack Doohan (Alpine)

    Alexander Albon (Williams)

    Carlos Sainz Jr. (Williams)

    Liam Lawson (Previously Yuki Tsunoda) (Visa Cash App Racing Bulls)

    Isack Hadjar (Visa Cash App Racing Bulls)

    Nico Hulkenberg (Sauber/Stake)

    Gabriel Bortoleto (Sauber/Stake)

    Esteban Ocon (Haas)

    Ollie Bearman (Haas)

    72

    24

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be the F1 World Champion (WDC) in 2025?

    Sep 20, 12:12 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM
    10845693

    OptionProbability

    Oscar Piastri (McLaren)

    Lando Norris (McLaren)

    Max Verstappen (Red Bull)

    Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)

    Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)

    George Russell (Mercedes)

    Sergio Perez (Red Bull)

    Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)

    Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)

    Other

    73

    24

    2

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    F1 driver lineup in 2026

    Aug 27, 6:05 PMFeb 21, 7:59 AM
    5317191

    OptionProbability

    Lando Norris

    Oscar Piastri

    George Russell

    Charles Leclerc

    Max Verstappen

    Lewis Hamilton

    Nico Hulkenberg

    Andrea Kimi Antonelli

    Sergio Perez

    Alex Albon

    Gabriel Bortoleto

    Pierre Gasly

    Carlos Sainz

    Isack Hadjar

    Lance Stroll

    Oliver Bearman

    Liam Lawson

    Estaban Ocon

    Fernando Alonso

    Franco Alejandro Colapinto

    Valtteri Bottas

    Yuki Tsunoda

    Arvid Lindblad

    Jack Doohan

    Kevin Magnussen

    Daniel Riccardo

    Zhou Guanyu

    98

    96

    96

    96

    95

    95

    95

    95

    93

    93

    92

    89

    86

    86

    84

    81

    79

    77

    74

    66

    64

    58

    55

    21

    11

    7

    6

    Which 2024 f2 drivers will be promoted to f1 in 2025

    Mar 21, 5:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    4212457

    OptionProbability

    Oliver Bearman

    Gabriel Bortoleto Oliveira

    Andrea Kimi Antonelli

    Franco Alejandro Colapinto

    Isack Alexandre Hadjar

    Paul Aron

    Richard Bastiaan Verschoor

    Zane Maloney

    Dennis Hauger

    Enzo Fittipaldi da Cruz

    Kush Maini

    Josep Maria Martí

    Zak O'Sullivan

    Amaury Cordeel

    Ritomo Miyata

    Rafael Villagómez Jr.

    Joshua Dürksen

    Victor Martins

    Juan Manuel Correa Borja

    Roman Staněk Jr.

    Carlton Jakston (Jak) Crawford

    Taylor Barnard

    None of them

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    12

    8

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    0

    OptionProbability

    Lando Norris (McLaren)

    Oscar Piastri (McLaren)

    Max Verstappen (Red Bull)

    Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)

    Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)

    Yuki Tsunoda (Previously Liam Lawson) (Red Bull)

    George Russel (Mercedes)

    Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)

    Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)

    Lance Stroll (Aston Martin)

    Pierre Gasly (Alpine)

    Jack Doohan (Alpine)

    Alexander Albon (Williams)

    Carlos Sainz Jr. (Williams)

    Liam Lawson (Previously Yuki Tsunoda) (VCARB)

    Isack Hadjar (VCARB)

    Nico Hulkenberg (Sauber/Stake)

    Gabriel Bortoleto (Sauber/Stake)

    Esteban Ocon (Haas)

    Ollie Bearman (Haas)

    32

    32

    28

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    F1 - Who will be the 116th driver to win a Grand Prix?

    Jul 21, 2:58 PMDec 19, 11:59 PM
    407992

    OptionProbability

    Andrea Kimi Antonelli

    Other

    Alex Albon

    Oliver Bearman

    Isack Hadjar

    Lance Stroll

    Yuki Tsunoda

    Nico Hulkenberg

    Gabriel Birtoleto

    Liam Lawson

    Kevin Magnussen

    31

    14

    13

    11

    11

    7

    6

    3

    3

    2

    0

    OptionProbability

    DeepSeek

    Alibaba (Qwen)

    Moonshot (Kimi)

    Mistral

    thinking machines

    Nvidia

    01 AI (Yi)

    Reka AI

    AI21 Labs (Jamba)

    Cohere (Command R+)

    NexusFlow (Athene)

    Safe Superintelligence / SSI

    100

    100

    96

    66

    51

    43

    31

    22

    22

    16

    12

    10

    Next first-time world champion in F1

    Apr 24, 5:11 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
    161783

    OptionProbability

    Oscar Piastri

    Lando Norris

    Kimi Antonelli

    Charles Leclerc

    George Russell

    Gabriel Bortoleto

    Other

    Carlos Sainz Jr.

    Alex Albon

    Yuki Tsunoda

    Esteban Ocon

    Pierre Gasly

    63

    28

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Claude 4

    GPT 5

    Kimi-K2

    Deepseek R2

    Grok 4

    DeepSeek R1

    Llama 4

    Grok 3

    Gemini 2 Flash Thinking

    GPT 4.5

    100

    59

    50

    40

    34

    25

    24

    9

    2

    1

    Will a Kimi reasoning model top LMArena by EOY2025?

    Jul 17, 5:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    25.59%chance
    9731

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1705

    586

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