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Top stories

Netanyahu Signals Push for West Bank Annexation in Settlement Visit

Netanyahu Signals Push for West Bank Annexation in Settlement Visit

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Land of Israel

Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?

Mar 8, 5:18 PMDec 31, 5:13 PM

3616084

OptionProbability

Before 2027

Before April 2026

Before May 2026

Before June 2026

9

0

0

0

Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?

Mar 11, 4:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.84%chance

10810788

OptionVotes

YES

NO

343

29

Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.19%chance

327878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8632

3470

🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱

Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

16.28%chance

323292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1431

869

Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050?

Sep 12, 7:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.35%chance

262429

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

586

Will BP returned to Israel after two years in exile?

Dec 17, 11:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.96%chance

41155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1395

717

Will Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030?

Mar 22, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.27%chance

6339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

61

Will Israel annex at least 15% of Syria by 2029?

Jan 20, 7:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.98%chance

9331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

396

25

Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?

Jul 20, 6:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.3%chance

7266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

94

Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US?

Nov 27, 12:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.89%chance

4230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM

44.9%chance

6159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

When will Israel next strike Iranian territory? (window closes Nov 30, 2026)

Oct 21, 7:52 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

226

OptionProbability

No strike before December 1, 2026

Before November 1, 2026

November 1–15, 2026

November 16–30, 2026

42

22

22

14

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Middle East
Politics
World
Netanyahu Signals Push for West Bank Annexation in Settlement Visit
Authors
4
1 year ago

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