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Prediction markets for Land of Israel
Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
Mar 8, 5:18 PMDec 31, 5:13 PM
3616084
OptionProbability
9
0
0
0
Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Mar 11, 4:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7.84%chance
10810788
OptionVotes
343
29
Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
28.19%chance
327878
OptionVotes
8632
3470
🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱
Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
16.28%chance
323292
OptionVotes
1431
869
OptionVotes
1013
586
OptionVotes
1395
717
Will Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030?
Mar 22, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
27.27%chance
6339
OptionVotes
163
61
OptionVotes
396
25
Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Jul 20, 6:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.3%chance
7266
OptionVotes
149
94
Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US?
Nov 27, 12:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.89%chance
4230
OptionVotes
115
87
Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?
Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM
44.9%chance
6159
OptionVotes
111
90
When will Israel next strike Iranian territory? (window closes Nov 30, 2026)
Oct 21, 7:52 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM
226
OptionProbability
42
22
22
14
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