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Prediction markets for Law of Return
2. Scaling laws will be discovered and exploited in areas beyond text—in particular, in robotics and biology.
Dec 27, 8:12 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM
75.4%chance
152818
OptionVotes
1751
571
OptionVotes
621
16
Will a Ukrainian citizen be deported from the EU for the purpose of forcing them into military conscription?
Apr 27, 10:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
27.73%chance
371415
OptionVotes
1694
505
OptionProbability
49
13
13
11
7
7
OptionProbability
29
23
15
8
8
5
3
3
3
2
Will More Than 1 Million Jews Immigrate to Israel in the years 2024-2027?
Nov 23, 10:01 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM
11.23%chance
10217
OptionVotes
337
100
Will the US issue emergency extensions to Visas of Taiwanese citizens who are in the US at any time through 2028
Sep 25, 9:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
29.23%chance
5132
OptionVotes
134
94
Will Facebook users with de-personalized ads have better consumer outcomes?
Feb 24, 8:07 PMMar 4, 7:59 AM
45.93%chance
475
OptionVotes
108
92
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