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Wallen Extends Billboard Lead as ‘KPop Demon Hunters’ Breaks U.K. Streaming Record

1 year ago

If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management?

Jul 3, 1:56 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

2261110

OptionProbability

Other

None— vacant thoughout end of term in Jan 20 2029

Matt Giacona

Trump not elected President

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

2.75%chance

9331343

OptionVotes

YES

5950

168

The Lead Attorney Stock (Permanent)

Nov 16, 5:15 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

7915237

OptionProbability

YES

1536

1450

Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?

Nov 18, 12:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.59%chance

10310880

OptionVotes

YES

3425

1696

Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

Jan 24, 6:49 AMOct 14, 11:00 AM

89.51%chance

268378

OptionVotes

YES

2725

206

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

325752

OptionVotes

YES

1335

751

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

Feb 22, 12:32 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

56%chance

605671

OptionVotes

YES

1136

832

Will AI lead to a 3.5 day workweek by 2040?

Oct 7, 9:10 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30%chance

242152

OptionVotes

YES

999

983

Bitcoin in USD on random day in 2026, resolves to first 2 leading digits as PROB

Jan 23, 11:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70%chance

121161

OptionVotes

YES

1312

829

Will the dollar lose its leading reserve currency status by 2040?

Apr 2, 1:28 PMAug 1, 9:59 PM

43.91%chance

24892

OptionVotes

YES

1177

659

IF Andy Burnham leads Labour into the next General Election, will Labour win?

May 18, 5:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7353

OptionProbability

Labour LOSES next General Election (led by Andy Burnham, using FPTP)

Labour WINS next General Election (led by Andy Burnham, under FPTP)

Andy Burnham does not lead Labour into the next General Election

Labour loses next General Election (led by Andy Burnham, but NOT using FPTP)

Labour wins next General Election (led by Andy Burnham, but NOT using FPTP)

Will AI lead to a dystopia future by 2100 (totalitarianism, disempowerment)?

May 19, 3:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

26.93%chance

12247

OptionVotes

YES

1063

964

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Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Japan
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Music
Wallen Extends Billboard Lead as ‘KPop Demon Hunters’ Breaks U.K. Streaming Record
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1 year ago

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If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management?

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

The Lead Attorney Stock (Permanent)

Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?

Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

Will AI lead to a 3.5 day workweek by 2040?

Bitcoin in USD on random day in 2026, resolves to first 2 leading digits as PROB

Will the dollar lose its leading reserve currency status by 2040?

IF Andy Burnham leads Labour into the next General Election, will Labour win?

Will AI lead to a dystopia future by 2100 (totalitarianism, disempowerment)?

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