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Top stories

Wallen Extends Billboard Lead as ‘KPop Demon Hunters’ Breaks U.K. Streaming Record

Wallen Extends Billboard Lead as ‘KPop Demon Hunters’ Breaks U.K. Streaming Record

Authors

8

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Lead

If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management?

Jul 3, 1:56 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

2158488

OptionProbability

Other

Matt Giacona

None— vacant thoughout end of term in Jan 20 2029

Trump not elected President

45

35

20

1

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15.88%chance

8022576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2301

435

The Lead Attorney Stock (Permanent)

Nov 16, 5:15 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

7915237

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1536

1450

Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?

Nov 18, 12:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.59%chance

10210820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3425

1696

Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

Jan 24, 6:49 AMOct 14, 11:00 AM

89.08%chance

248331

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2678

211

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

Feb 22, 12:32 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

71.43%chance

565146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1573

587

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.89%chance

253805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

922

Will AI lead to a 3.5 day workweek by 2040?

Oct 7, 9:10 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30%chance

242152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

983

Will heart disease no longer be the leading cause of death in the US in any year prior to 2031?

Jun 27, 3:10 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

28.44%chance

271234

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

888

Will the dollar lose its leading reserve currency status by 2040?

Apr 2, 1:28 PMAug 1, 9:59 PM

45%chance

23872

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1193

639

Bitcoin in USD on random day in 2026, resolves to first 2 leading digits as PROB

Jan 23, 11:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.6%chance

11664

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

852

Will AI lead to a dystopia future by 2100 (totalitarianism, disempowerment)?

May 19, 3:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

26.93%chance

12247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

964

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
Japan
Britain
Music
Wallen Extends Billboard Lead as ‘KPop Demon Hunters’ Breaks U.K. Streaming Record
Authors
8
9 months ago

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