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Prediction markets for Lead
If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management?
Jul 3, 1:56 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM
2261110
OptionProbability
51
36
12
1
Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
Jan 6, 4:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
2.75%chance
9331343
OptionVotes
5950
168
OptionProbability
1536
1450
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
Nov 18, 12:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
30.59%chance
10310880
OptionVotes
3425
1696
Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
Jan 24, 6:49 AMOct 14, 11:00 AM
89.51%chance
268378
OptionVotes
2725
206
10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36%chance
325752
OptionVotes
1335
751
Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?
Feb 22, 12:32 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM
56%chance
605671
OptionVotes
1136
832
OptionVotes
999
983
Bitcoin in USD on random day in 2026, resolves to first 2 leading digits as PROB
Jan 23, 11:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
70%chance
121161
OptionVotes
1312
829
Will the dollar lose its leading reserve currency status by 2040?
Apr 2, 1:28 PMAug 1, 9:59 PM
43.91%chance
24892
OptionVotes
1177
659
IF Andy Burnham leads Labour into the next General Election, will Labour win?
May 18, 5:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7353
OptionProbability
41
26
17
9
6
Will AI lead to a dystopia future by 2100 (totalitarianism, disempowerment)?
May 19, 3:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
26.93%chance
12247
OptionVotes
1063
964