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Top stories

Poilievre Calls Liberal Clean Fuel Plan ‘Carbon Tax 2.0’ Amid Trade Rift

Poilievre Calls Liberal Clean Fuel Plan ‘Carbon Tax 2.0’ Amid Trade Rift

Authors

3

10 months ago

Poilievre Demands Clearer Self-Defence Law After Ontario Home Invasion Charge

Poilievre Demands Clearer Self-Defence Law After Ontario Home Invasion Charge

Authors

4

10 months ago

Canada’s Federal Spending on Public Servants Hits $71 Billion, Up 77% Since 2016; Deficit to Rise $8.5 Billion Over Five Years

Canada’s Federal Spending on Public Servants Hits $71 Billion, Up 77% Since 2016; Deficit to Rise $8.5 Billion Over Five Years

Authors

5

10 months ago

Abacus Poll Puts Poilievre Conservatives Ahead as Affordability Angst Grows

Authors

4

10 months ago

Josh Willie Elected Tasmanian Labor Leader With Janie Finlay Deputy After Dean Winter No-Confidence Motion; Liberals Retain Power in Hung Parliament

Authors

6

10 months ago

Pierre Poilievre Wins Battle River-Crowfoot By-Election With 80% Vote, Returns to Parliament September 15

Authors

7

10 months ago

Ford and Carney Discuss U.S. Trade Amid 80% Canadians’ Skepticism, Poilievre Criticism, and Ford Blasts Stelco’s U.S. Owner

Authors

6

10 months ago

US Domestic Policy

NYT Essay Urging Senate, Electoral College Overhaul Sparks Conservative Furor

Authors

13

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Liberal

If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)

Feb 23, 9:36 PMJan 21, 10:59 PM

10%chance

20942496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2625

113

How many seats will the Liberal Democrats win at the next general election?

May 2, 8:23 AMDec 31, 9:22 AM

145072

OptionProbability

50 - 99

0 - 49

100 - 149

150 - 199

200 - 249

250 - 299

300 - 349

350 - 399

400 - 425

52

30

15

1

1

1

0

0

0

Liberals still in Riksdag after next election?

Aug 13, 9:20 PMSep 12, 10:59 PM

25.57%chance

132115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1706

586

Will the Colombian government and National Liberation Army (ELN) rebels announce a comprehensive agreement before the end of President Gustavo Petro’s term?

Jan 15, 4:17 PMAug 8, 2:59 AM

17.07%chance

161849

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2210

328

Capitalism and liberal democracy are going to be doing fine (or well) in 2030

Jan 6, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.64%chance

371499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1021

798

Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?

Jan 29, 8:51 PMJan 21, 5:59 AM

23.47%chance

151324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1806

554

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.51%chance

211148

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

877

Australian Liberal Party Leader On January 1st 2027

Feb 9, 11:48 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

61052

OptionProbability

Angus Taylor

Susan Ley

Andrew Hastie

Other

Ted O’Brien

Michaelia Cash

82

6

5

5

1

1

Will Ed Davey lead the Liberal Democrat party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

58%chance

9557

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1175

851

Will Trump's 2nd term be better than his first term (according to historians - tend to be liberal)?

Nov 6, 7:44 AMMar 30, 4:59 AM

11.31%chance

9191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

280

36

Will Jacinta Price be the next Liberal deputy in Australia?

Oct 23, 11:51 AMNov 30, 8:05 PM

22.01%chance

4110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

60

Will "Lesswrong Liberated" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 1, 8:36 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.33%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

992

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