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US Two- and Five-Year Yields Hit Three-Month Lows on Fed-Cut Bets
Authors
12
4 months ago
Prediction markets for Liberation Day
Will Nasry Asfura win the 2025 Honduran Presidential Election?
Oct 4, 5:05 PMDec 7, 11:59 PM
91.44%chance
5465346
OptionVotes
3267
306
Conditinal on Crimea being taken by Ukranian army, will Russia avoid using nuclear weapons?
Dec 21, 11:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
87.19%chance
462913
OptionVotes
1131
951
Will the Liberal Democrats consistently outpoll the Conservative Party in 2025?
Jun 18, 12:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.27%chance
102491
OptionVotes
2798
77
Which countries or groups will retaliate against Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs by the end of 2025?
Apr 6, 12:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
192135
OptionProbability
100
92
31
11
2
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
99
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
1380
928
OptionProbability
62
17
10
7
3
1
¿# de curules ganados por el PL en las elecciones de Honduras 2025? # of seats won by the LP in Honduras 2025 elections?
Nov 30, 11:37 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
7695
OptionProbability
46
27
24
5
4
3
2
Will Ed Davey lead the Liberal Democrat party into the next General Election?
Jan 6, 4:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
59.54%chance
7499
OptionVotes
1213
824
Next pope regarded as conservative (YES) or liberal (NO)?
Apr 21, 3:57 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
23.24%chance
26447
OptionVotes
182
55
Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day Tarrifs?
May 14, 2:40 AMMar 2, 3:34 AM
42.65%chance
13339
OptionVotes
120
90
Will the U.S. Supreme Court issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day tariffs?
May 29, 2:56 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
31.24%chance
7121
OptionVotes
148
67
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