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Prediction markets for Line of Control
OptionProbability
36
24
14
13
9
4
1
0
OptionVotes
2740
612
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2026?
Oct 30, 9:24 PMJan 6, 10:59 PM
4.48%chance
7416032
OptionVotes
3193
687
Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?
Feb 4, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
6.59%chance
488227
OptionVotes
1239
943
Will Trump say that Moon should become a state before the end of his term?
Feb 11, 7:37 AMJan 22, 5:59 AM
16.74%chance
618173
OptionVotes
2230
448
OptionProbability
98
89
88
88
86
68
66
60
34
32
31
31
31
26
26
19
5
What will be the first celestial body other than Earth, Moon and Mars to be visited by humans?
Apr 2, 1:15 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM
223235
OptionProbability
51
18
16
10
3
1
1
1
When will the first murder of a civilian happen in a US city by a robot or AI device where an operator is not nearby
Aug 3, 12:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
142969
OptionProbability
99
56
45
23
0
OptionVotes
1008
992
Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?
May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6693
OptionProbability
79
7
6
3
3
3
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
63.06%chance
8279
OptionVotes
105
103
EPA's chrysotile asbestos ban overturned by the end of 2025
Feb 7, 4:27 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
63.05%chance
8117
OptionVotes
131
77