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Prediction markets for Linea
MrBeast ad progress bars still non-linear, in early 2026?
May 30, 8:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
88.12%chance
91795
OptionVotes
2723
367
Will Linear A (Minoan Script Language) be deciphered by the end of 2029?
Mar 11, 3:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
48.99%chance
361784
OptionVotes
2201
1644
Who will have found the most Sidekick bugs when the linearizer launches?
Oct 4, 6:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1753
OptionProbability
65
6
6
5
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
Will @spiderduckpig profit growth rate be linear, exponential, or logarithmic
Apr 24, 10:41 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
13637
OptionProbability
61
38
1
0
Will Linear A (Minoan Script Language) be deciphered by the end of 2026?
Aug 29, 3:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
17.56%chance
10334
OptionVotes
217
46
How many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)
Oct 29, 4:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.01%chance
2172
OptionVotes
2772
2450
Will "Detecting Strategic Deception Using Linear Probes" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jul 21, 8:45 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
2122
OptionVotes
1000
1000
Do OpenAI's o*-series models share a common lineage with GPT-4o?
Aug 3, 6:57 AMDec 31, 7:38 AM
55.24%chance
231
OptionVotes
111
90
Do Recurring Slope Lineae on Mars involve liquid water?
May 3, 9:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
50.33%chance
220
OptionVotes
101
99
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