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Prediction markets for Local Call
Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?
Nov 7, 7:29 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM
5073832
OptionProbability
71
16
0
0
0
Will the farm bill (HR 7567) pass and destroy / federally preempt state animal welfare laws?
Apr 29, 12:45 AMJan 14, 12:59 AM
60.94%chance
6212694
OptionVotes
4940
3257
OptionVotes
3727
269
OptionVotes
2425
412
Will any current Labour MP call for Keir Starmer to stand down after the local elections?
Apr 30, 8:43 AMMay 14, 11:59 PM
86.28%chance
211903
OptionVotes
2508
399
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in Maine?
Nov 26, 3:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
80.11%chance
351580
OptionVotes
201
50
Will "Our Neighborhood Voices" qualify a local control zoning initiative for the 2026 California ballot?
Feb 26, 12:55 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM
17.9%chance
21300
OptionVotes
2150
471
Will I be able to use an LLM to brush my teeth before 2027?
Nov 7, 4:51 PMJan 1, 10:29 AM
42.35%chance
32874
OptionVotes
1159
691
At the end of 2028, how many times the price of a basic plumbing job will it cost to develop a simple iPhone app?
Feb 16, 1:17 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
27.91%chance
11411
OptionProbability
1149
928
OptionVotes
123
68
OptionVotes
151
66
Will anyone get me to post 🌀 in the comments on this market [Convince the Machine #9]
May 6, 6:22 PMMay 20, 6:22 PM
57.18%chance
732
OptionVotes
116
87
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