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Prediction markets for Local Call
Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?
Nov 7, 7:29 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM
4973582
OptionProbability
71
17
0
0
0
Will the US Constitution be amended to revoke Birthright Citizenship before 2040?
Jun 28, 12:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
8.53%chance
241296
OptionVotes
994
550
Will I be able to use an LLM to brush my teeth before 2027?
Nov 7, 4:51 PMJan 1, 10:29 AM
42.35%chance
32874
OptionVotes
1159
691
Will the UK government approve the proposed Chinese embassy at the Royal Mint before 2026?
Oct 17, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5%chance
8830
OptionVotes
436
23
OptionVotes
1717
582
Will any United States elected official call for the release of Luigi Mangione by the end of 2025?
Dec 13, 6:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
12.35%chance
19698
OptionVotes
266
38
When will LLMs be better at Paradox grand strategy games than the in-game AI for NPCs?
Mar 23, 3:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4655
OptionProbability
15
15
15
15
15
12
9
4
Will "Our Neighborhood Voices" qualify a local control zoning initiative for the 2026 California ballot?
Feb 26, 12:55 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM
30.77%chance
1500
OptionVotes
1505
672
At the end of 2028, how many times the price of a basic plumbing job will it cost to develop a simple iPhone app?
Feb 16, 1:17 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
27.91%chance
11411
OptionProbability
1149
928
Will the UK government approve the proposed Chinese embassy at the Royal Mint before 2027?
Oct 17, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
92.76%chance
3318
OptionVotes
358
28
OptionVotes
147
58
Will any municipality in Northern Italy move to an autonomous region by 2030?
Aug 3, 4:34 PMDec 4, 4:59 AM
62.17%chance
691
OptionVotes
141
117
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