Long March 10 News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Long March 10
OptionProbability
13
13
13
11
9
7
5
5
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
OptionProbability
43
36
8
6
3
3
1
1
Which Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)
Feb 6, 11:09 PMFeb 6, 10:38 PM
7616
OptionProbability
100
100
66
66
46
45
41
28
10
Will Iran suffer an oil blockade, and will the regime fall this year?
Mar 29, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17505
OptionProbability
83
12
2
2
When will the Long March 10 rocket first reach orbit? (Quarters)
Aug 19, 11:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5425
OptionProbability
28
11
11
11
11
11
11
6
1
Will China place an taikonaut on the moon by the end of 2030?
Dec 4, 12:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
68.72%chance
6138
OptionVotes
148
67
Will CALT's Long March 10 rocket carry crew to the moon before 2035?
Sep 17, 1:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
75%chance
6114
OptionVotes
185
67
OptionProbability
32
30
24
14
OptionVotes
130
42