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Macrohard News

    Prediction markets for Macrohard

    Which of the following will happen by the end of 2030?

    Dec 26, 2:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    61307

    OptionProbability

    Microsoft releases at least a public beta version of Windows that uses no C/C++ code

    Elon Musk's "Macrohard" software company releases a full-featured operating system (i.e., a legitimate competitor to Windows)

    17

    16

    xAI (props)

    Mar 7, 11:36 AMMar 7, 11:36 AM
    9888

    OptionProbability

    Grok-5 publicly released by August 1, 2026

    Grok-5 utilizes a multi-agent architecture composed of several LLMs like Grok-4.2

    Grok Imagine supports 1080p 30s videos by September 30, 2026

    xAI's Macrohard publicly deploys agent workflows (AI agents emulating a digital company) that generate revenue directly (not via API) by December 31, 2026

    Colossus supercluster hits 1.5GW by May 1, 2026

    xAI publicly deploys a multi-agent AI system (multiple collaborating agents emulating digital humans) by December 31, 2026

    xAI model holds #1 on Prediction Arena leaderboard on or before June 1, 2026

    64

    63

    44

    43

    39

    38

    26

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