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Macrohard News

    Prediction markets for Macrohard

    xAI (props)

    Mar 7, 11:36 AMMar 7, 11:36 AM
    151968

    OptionProbability

    Colossus supercluster hits 1.5GW by May 1, 2026

    Grok Imagine supports 1080p 30s videos by September 30, 2026

    xAI publicly deploys a multi-agent AI system (multiple collaborating agents emulating digital humans) by December 31, 2026

    xAI's Macrohard publicly deploys agent workflows (AI agents operating the functions of a digital software company) that generate revenue directly (not via API) by December 31, 2026

    Grok-5 utilizes a multi-agent architecture composed of several LLMs like Grok-4.2

    Grok-5 publicly released by August 1, 2026

    xAI model holds #1 on Prediction Arena leaderboard on or before June 1, 2026

    100

    100

    100

    43

    23

    0

    0

    Which of the following will happen by the end of 2030?

    Dec 26, 2:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    71327

    OptionProbability

    Microsoft releases at least a public beta version of Windows that uses no C/C++ code

    Elon Musk's "Macrohard" software company releases a full-featured operating system (i.e., a legitimate competitor to Windows)

    16

    16

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