Market Surveillance News

CFTC Deploys Nasdaq Surveillance Platform to Police Expanding Crypto Markets

3 months ago

Europe

Markets

Regulation

Bybit EU Deploys Nasdaq Market Surveillance to Meet MiCAR Rules

3 months ago

Will measles become endemic in the U.S. due to the current Texas outbreak?

Mar 28, 8:28 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM

61.6%chance

165696

OptionVotes

YES

1377

658

Will the U.S. slide into the tenets of fascism under Trump’s second term by the end of 2025?

Mar 14, 8:07 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

482809

OptionProbability

Authoritarian Leadership

Forcible Suppression of Opposition

Extreme Nationalism and/or Race-Based Policies

Militarism and Political Violence

Regimentation of Society and Economy

Rejection of Pluralism and Democracy

Russia sends spy balloon to USA in 2025?

Nov 16, 12:39 AMDec 31, 8:30 PM

1.79%chance

131530

OptionVotes

YES

742

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.49%chance

91006

OptionVotes

YES

1709

585

Will the Percentage of the US Population (Age >= 13) that is Trans Increase in the Next Williams Center Report?

Feb 19, 1:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

77.7%chance

14641

OptionVotes

YES

1034

769

When will Instituto Butantã's Dengue vaccine be approved by Anvisa?

Jun 23, 12:48 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

4559

OptionProbability

2026 or later

2025.Q3

2025.Q4

2025.Q2

2024.Q3

2024.Q4

2025.Q1

Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?

Jan 24, 5:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

79.8%chance

13289

OptionVotes

YES

199

What animal will we be to AI by 2045?

May 2, 9:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13286

OptionProbability

Other

Cat

Petdog

Monkey

Chickens

Bugs

Watchdog

Labrats

Zoo animals

Will a Novel Disease Identified by 2025 Cause Over 100 Deaths by End of 2027?

Mar 24, 5:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.37%chance

579

OptionVotes

YES

119

Longtermist Policymakers create mass-surveillance civilisational risk monitoring programme by 1st Jan 2028

Aug 11, 11:25 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

39.31%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

105

Will migrant boats from France to the UK be consistently sent back to France for at least a month before 2030?

Jan 3, 2:17 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Europe
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Bybit EU Deploys Nasdaq Market Surveillance to Meet MiCAR Rules
Authors
5
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Prediction Markets
Fintech
Regulation
CFTC Deploys Nasdaq Surveillance Platform to Police Expanding Crypto Markets
Authors
9
3 months ago

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Will measles become endemic in the U.S. due to the current Texas outbreak?

Will the U.S. slide into the tenets of fascism under Trump’s second term by the end of 2025?

Russia sends spy balloon to USA in 2025?

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Will the Percentage of the US Population (Age >= 13) that is Trans Increase in the Next Williams Center Report?

When will Instituto Butantã's Dengue vaccine be approved by Anvisa?

Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?

What animal will we be to AI by 2045?

Will a Novel Disease Identified by 2025 Cause Over 100 Deaths by End of 2027?

Longtermist Policymakers create mass-surveillance civilisational risk monitoring programme by 1st Jan 2028

Will migrant boats from France to the UK be consistently sent back to France for at least a month before 2030?

Latest stories

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