Market Surveillance News

CFTC Deploys Nasdaq Surveillance Platform to Police Expanding Crypto Markets

8 months ago

Europe

Markets

Regulation

Bybit EU Deploys Nasdaq Market Surveillance to Meet MiCAR Rules

8 months ago

If Anthropic caves to the Pentagon in Q1 2026, will it remain a leading AI lab in 2027?

Feb 27, 2:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

149972

OptionProbability

Anthropic does not cave: stays a leading lab

Anthropic does not cave: stops being a leading lab

Anthropic caves: stays a leading lab

Anthropic caves: stops being a leading lab

Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?

Feb 26, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.74%chance

244278

OptionVotes

YES

2405

416

Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026?

Jan 23, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.14%chance

201958

OptionVotes

YES

2280

439

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.07%chance

101522

OptionVotes

YES

1223

818

Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027

Mar 19, 4:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.13%chance

121149

OptionVotes

YES

1639

610

Will the Percentage of the US Population (Age >= 13) that is Trans Increase in the Next Williams Center Report?

Feb 19, 1:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

77.7%chance

14641

OptionVotes

YES

1034

769

Is Anthropic woke?

Feb 26, 1:34 AMJul 1, 4:59 AM

83.78%chance

8402

OptionVotes

YES

227

Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?

Jan 24, 5:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

79.8%chance

13289

OptionVotes

YES

199

Will "OpenAI’s surveillance language has many poten..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 4, 11:50 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

17.61%chance

3124

OptionVotes

YES

1039

791

Will official investigations or leaked evidence confirm that Yu Menglong's death was murder by June 30, 2026

Dec 14, 7:55 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

15.64%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

200

Longtermist Policymakers create mass-surveillance civilisational risk monitoring programme by 1st Jan 2028

Aug 11, 11:25 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

39.31%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

105

Will migrant boats from France to the UK be consistently sent back to France for at least a month before 2030?

Jan 3, 2:17 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

49.01%chance

OptionVotes

YES

102

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If Anthropic caves to the Pentagon in Q1 2026, will it remain a leading AI lab in 2027?

Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?

Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026?

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027

Will the Percentage of the US Population (Age >= 13) that is Trans Increase in the Next Williams Center Report?

Is Anthropic woke?

Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?

Will "OpenAI’s surveillance language has many poten..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will official investigations or leaked evidence confirm that Yu Menglong's death was murder by June 30, 2026

Longtermist Policymakers create mass-surveillance civilisational risk monitoring programme by 1st Jan 2028

Will migrant boats from France to the UK be consistently sent back to France for at least a month before 2030?

Latest stories

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