Market Surveillance News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Market Surveillance
Will measles become endemic in the U.S. due to the current Texas outbreak?
Mar 28, 8:28 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM
10%chance
153270
OptionVotes
2984
432
Will the U.S. slide into the tenets of fascism under Trump’s second term by the end of 2025?
Mar 14, 8:07 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM
482805
OptionProbability
89
83
81
80
58
23
Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?
Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.54%chance
8940
OptionVotes
1708
586
Will the Percentage of the US Population (Age >= 13) that is Trans Increase in the Next Williams Center Report?
Feb 19, 1:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
77.7%chance
14641
OptionVotes
1034
769
When will Instituto Butantã's Dengue vaccine be approved by Anvisa?
Jun 23, 12:48 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
3429
OptionProbability
43
27
15
12
1
1
1
Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?
Jan 24, 5:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
79.8%chance
13289
OptionVotes
199
50
OptionProbability
26
24
10
9
8
8
7
5
3
Will a Novel Disease Identified by 2025 Cause Over 100 Deaths by End of 2027?
Mar 24, 5:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41.37%chance
579
OptionVotes
119
84
Longtermist Policymakers create mass-surveillance civilisational risk monitoring programme by 1st Jan 2028
Aug 11, 11:25 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
39.31%chance
215
OptionVotes
105
78
Will migrant boats from France to the UK be consistently sent back to France for at least a month before 2030?
Jan 3, 2:17 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
Latest stories
Latest stories