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CFTC Deploys Nasdaq Surveillance Platform to Police Expanding Crypto Markets

1 year ago

Europe

Markets

Regulation

Bybit EU Deploys Nasdaq Market Surveillance to Meet MiCAR Rules

1 year ago

Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026?

Jan 23, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.4%chance

223175

OptionVotes

YES

3537

283

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.31%chance

173004

OptionVotes

YES

1921

520

Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027

Mar 19, 4:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.39%chance

131949

OptionVotes

YES

2439

410

In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?

Jun 1, 4:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

8962

OptionProbability

2027

2029

2030

2028

Will the Percentage of the US Population (Age >= 13) that is Trans Increase in the Next Williams Center Report?

Feb 19, 1:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

77.7%chance

14641

OptionVotes

YES

1034

769

Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026?

Jul 29, 2:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.36%chance

6563

OptionVotes

YES

1007

993

Will China become democratic before 2030?

Jan 3, 10:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.54%chance

13420

OptionVotes

YES

378

What animal will we be to AI by 2045?

May 2, 9:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13292

OptionProbability

Other

Cat

Petdog

Monkey

Labrats

Watchdog

Chickens

Bugs

Zoo animals

Will Canada pass Bill C-22 in 2026?

May 20, 7:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.8%chance

5132

OptionVotes

YES

212

Will "OpenAI’s surveillance language has many poten..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 4, 11:50 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

17.61%chance

3124

OptionVotes

YES

1039

791

Will Canada pass a Warrantless mass data collection law, as part of Bill C-22, in 2026?

May 23, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.58%chance

881

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will migrant boats from France to the UK be consistently sent back to France for at least a month before 2030?

Jan 3, 2:17 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

49.01%chance

OptionVotes

YES

102

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Will Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026?

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027

In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?

Will the Percentage of the US Population (Age >= 13) that is Trans Increase in the Next Williams Center Report?

Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026?

Will China become democratic before 2030?

What animal will we be to AI by 2045?

Will Canada pass Bill C-22 in 2026?

Will "OpenAI’s surveillance language has many poten..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will Canada pass a Warrantless mass data collection law, as part of Bill C-22, in 2026?

Will migrant boats from France to the UK be consistently sent back to France for at least a month before 2030?

Latest stories

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