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Prediction markets for Massacre
Will Google release a model that refuses to talk about Tiananmen square, before 2026?
Jan 18, 9:47 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM
4.53%chance
449427
OptionVotes
4179
591
OptionProbability
66
17
5
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
99
89
85
81
79
65
64
62
55
55
50
39
18
17
13
11
9
After the Israel-Hamas war is over, would the average Israeli believe it was a mistake?
Nov 6, 5:30 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
8.74%chance
261121
OptionVotes
1869
846
Religiously motivated dog massacre in EU country before the end of 2026?
Jul 13, 2:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
28.5%chance
14314
OptionVotes
158
63
In 2100, will it generally be believed that Russian troops carried out the Bucha massacre?
Feb 22, 1:24 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
91.01%chance
8299
OptionVotes
402
248
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