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Messages News

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.97%chance

5212270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19342

7418

Will The Signal Foundation provide the content of a Signal message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 7:39 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

7.9%chance

183860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3414

293

Will humans send AND receive a message telepathically via brain machine interface before 2026?

Jan 10, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.36%chance

633508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1261

885

Will humans receive a message from an extraterrestrial or inter-dimensional intelligence before the end of 2027?

Aug 27, 5:59 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

3.45%chance

403153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2574

873

before 2026, will Telegram have given any government access to private messages of its users?

Aug 25, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.81%chance

282258

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1195

837

Will Apple provide the content of an iMessage message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 7:34 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

34%chance

11621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1393

718

Will "What's Going on With OpenAI's Messaging?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

May 21, 6:13 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.41%chance

3475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1471

939

Will Mark Zuckerbergs prediction of being able to "send messages with your mind" by 01/01/2028 be correct?

Jan 12, 10:26 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

22.37%chance

16361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

955

Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 2:50 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

56.57%chance

4317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

876

Will "That Alien Message - The Animation" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Sep 8, 12:23 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.64%chance

2200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

971

In 2030, will LLMs be sending messages to coordinate with one another, whether we can decode them or not?

May 2, 1:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.78%chance

8113

OptionVotes

NO

YES

211

172

Will Apple release support for editing RCS messages before 2026

Dec 23, 4:13 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

39.83%chance

342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

81

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