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Top stories

iOS 26 Beta Restores Watch Blood Oxygen, Expands AI as iPhone 17 Rumors Grow

iOS 26 Beta Restores Watch Blood Oxygen, Expands AI as iPhone 17 Rumors Grow

Authors

10

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Messages

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.08%chance

5312290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19219

7438

Will The Signal Foundation provide the content of a Signal message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 7:39 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.89%chance

184256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3019

331

Will humans send AND receive a message telepathically via brain machine interface before 2026?

Jan 10, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.33%chance

653808

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1561

807

before 2026, will Telegram have given any government access to private messages of its users?

Aug 25, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.54%chance

303663

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2029

493

Will humans receive a message from an extraterrestrial or inter-dimensional intelligence before the end of 2027?

Aug 27, 5:59 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

3.45%chance

403153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2574

873

Will Apple provide the content of an iMessage message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 7:34 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

36.12%chance

11684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

752

Will Mark Zuckerbergs prediction of being able to "send messages with your mind" by 01/01/2028 be correct?

Jan 12, 10:26 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

18.02%chance

17611

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1362

893

Will "What's Going on With OpenAI's Messaging?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

May 21, 6:13 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.41%chance

3475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1471

939

Were Tyler Robinson's text messages fabricated or altered in any way? (Alleged Charlie Kirk shooter)

Sep 24, 8:13 PMDec 31, 9:11 PM

5.91%chance

2351

OptionVotes

YES

NO

399

25

Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 2:50 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

56.57%chance

4317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

876

Will "That Alien Message - The Animation" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Sep 8, 12:23 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.64%chance

2200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

971

Will the EU force messaging apps to scan encrypted messages for CSAM?

May 7, 9:19 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.44%chance

5136

OptionVotes

YES

NO

234

43

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Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Rumors
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iOS 26 Beta Restores Watch Blood Oxygen, Expands AI as iPhone 17 Rumors Grow
Authors
10
4 months ago

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