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Prediction markets for Meta
Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?
Sep 23, 4:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21.06%chance
4418249
OptionVotes
19828
4806
Will meta announce Its shutting down its metaverse by the end of 2026?
Mar 7, 3:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
44%chance
928888
OptionVotes
1547
1342
Will Meta ever deploy its best LLM without releasing its model weights up through AGI?
Jan 26, 6:59 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM
80.46%chance
404301
OptionVotes
1403
867
Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.03%chance
302990
OptionVotes
1105
905
Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?
Feb 27, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54.03%chance
312454
OptionVotes
1229
575
Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027?
Jul 1, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.75%chance
82315
OptionVotes
1145
873
Meta (Facebook) launches real money prediction market app by end of 2027?
Jun 23, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41.48%chance
232238
OptionVotes
1188
842
Will Mark Zuckerberg blame Trump threats/pressure for Meta content policy changes? (By March 2029)
Jan 18, 2:04 AMMar 31, 1:29 PM
23.42%chance
111139
OptionVotes
1808
553
Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?
May 6, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
37.73%chance
18430
OptionVotes
1147
1002
Temperature market 🌡 : Meta business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing.
Feb 11, 8:10 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
21.88%chance
19413
OptionVotes
1321
881
Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Jan 8, 2:50 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
56.57%chance
4317
OptionVotes
1141
876