Middle East war News

7 months ago

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Feb 3, 3:21 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

15.23%chance

8334605

OptionVotes

YES

2359

424

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Feb 28, 4:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

17.67%chance

367640

OptionVotes

YES

2159

463

Will the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) sustain battle damage caused directly by Iranian military forces before 31 march

Feb 28, 8:03 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

13.36%chance

524918

OptionVotes

YES

255

By 2050, will a country have waged a war of conquest because its territory is becoming uninhabitable?

Aug 14, 12:32 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

21.12%chance

11706

OptionVotes

YES

1486

818

Will Europe fall before Bitcoin?

Dec 12, 7:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.2%chance

8669

OptionVotes

YES

1149

455

Will China go to war with Taiwan before Israel goes to war with a nation in the middle east

Mar 30, 12:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.91%chance

8656

OptionVotes

YES

351

180

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Oct 10, 1:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60%chance

13389

OptionVotes

YES

1044

907

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

YES

1051

819

If Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?

Jan 2, 10:17 AMJan 2, 10:17 AM

80.5%chance

10228

OptionVotes

YES

203

Will the World Tension Index get above 100 in 2026?

Dec 31, 6:41 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

35%chance

5140

OptionVotes

YES

136

Will European Central Bank cut interest rates before June 2026?

Mar 22, 8:08 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

150

Will the print NYT have a top-right A1 story headline that does not mention war in the Middle East in March?

Mar 6, 8:43 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

48.36%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

103

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Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Middle East
War
US Foreign Policy
Netanyahu Criticized Over Gaza Civilian Casualties Amid Israel’s Divided IDF, Protests, and Push for U.S. Role in Potential December Iran War
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Middle East war News

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Prediction markets for Middle East war

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Prediction markets for Middle East war

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Will the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) sustain battle damage caused directly by Iranian military forces before 31 march

By 2050, will a country have waged a war of conquest because its territory is becoming uninhabitable?

Will Europe fall before Bitcoin?

Will China go to war with Taiwan before Israel goes to war with a nation in the middle east

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

If Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?

Will the World Tension Index get above 100 in 2026?

Will European Central Bank cut interest rates before June 2026?

Will the print NYT have a top-right A1 story headline that does not mention war in the Middle East in March?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram