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Prediction markets for Middle East war
OptionVotes
2359
424
Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
Feb 28, 4:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
17.67%chance
367640
OptionVotes
2159
463
Will the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) sustain battle damage caused directly by Iranian military forces before 31 march
Feb 28, 8:03 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM
13.36%chance
524918
OptionVotes
255
39
By 2050, will a country have waged a war of conquest because its territory is becoming uninhabitable?
Aug 14, 12:32 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
21.12%chance
11706
OptionVotes
1486
818
OptionVotes
1149
455
Will China go to war with Taiwan before Israel goes to war with a nation in the middle east
Mar 30, 12:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
24.91%chance
8656
OptionVotes
351
180
Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?
Oct 10, 1:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
60%chance
13389
OptionVotes
1044
907
OptionVotes
1051
819
If Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?
Jan 2, 10:17 AMJan 2, 10:17 AM
80.5%chance
10228
OptionVotes
203
49
OptionVotes
136
73
Will European Central Bank cut interest rates before June 2026?
Mar 22, 8:08 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
32.04%chance
252
OptionVotes
146
69
Will the print NYT have a top-right A1 story headline that does not mention war in the Middle East in March?
Mar 6, 8:43 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
48.36%chance
340
OptionVotes
103
97
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