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Prediction markets for Minecraft
Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?
May 25, 10:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
85%chance
8420690
OptionVotes
2380
420
Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?
Dec 18, 8:54 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
88.98%chance
1039853
OptionVotes
2620
654
Will a new dimension be added to Minecraft in 1.22 or 1.23?
Jun 1, 7:46 AMOct 1, 8:59 PM
11.59%chance
243330
OptionVotes
2762
362
Will any video game surpass Minecraft as the best-selling video game of all time by 2028?
Apr 24, 7:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
28.33%chance
372534
OptionVotes
1158
911
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2026?
Jan 21, 3:07 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
32.17%chance
212448
OptionVotes
1452
689
OptionVotes
1027
974
Will Anthropic host a Claude Minecraft Twitch stream before 2026?
Feb 26, 12:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
25%chance
151883
OptionVotes
1732
577
Will any agent perform better on Minecraft (or comparable open world game) after being fine-tuned on a manual by 2027?
Jul 11, 7:56 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
71.82%chance
131256
OptionVotes
1267
823
Will Minecraft still be the best-selling video game by the end of 2026?
Dec 17, 6:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
83.11%chance
191050
OptionVotes
1596
825
OptionVotes
1131
884
OptionVotes
1652
605
Before 2027, will I enjoy playing Minecraft w/ an AI while voice calling comparably to playing over call with a friend?
Dec 19, 6:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
32.6%chance
11686
OptionVotes
1438
696
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